
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入。 新品牌只有2个,却只跑出1个盈利新品,成功率11.11%,同时大部分新品利润集中在12.27%~24.40%,已经是明显的价格竞争区;对小商家和跨品类大品牌来说,都不是好进场点。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不能进入。这个市场对新入场者不友好,且已经出现明显的价格战/高壁垒信号;按你500,000元预算,只够碰到少数可测ASIN的前期投放,但不足以覆盖长期品牌、研发和认证成本。
证据很直接:新品牌THE KENKYO虽然有1个可盈利款B0FJ84WSBP,单品预算不清但月销约200、月营收约54.5万日元,利润率23.61%;但同品牌另一个新品B0FJ854GJ4直接不盈利。新品牌Ovelin 7个产品里0个盈利,7个全亏,说明新品牌失败率极高。整体上,新品牌新品盈利率只有11.11%,但非盈利率高达88.89%;老品牌新品盈利率27.78%,非盈利率72.22%,说明真正能吃到利润的几乎都是老品牌或老品牌延伸款,不是小商家可复制路径。再看竞争,Momcozy这类老品牌的可盈利新品B0GKMG2VQ9、B0GKMG2VQ9、B0GG9ZQ6YK、B0DT5TJ72V,单品售价约$33,利润率25.68%~26.4%,但其新品B0H6FK8N4H已转为不盈利;同时可见的成功产品多在“翻面双面设计、透气凉感、头枕护垫、四季通用”这些功能差异上,而普通同质化款很容易亏。当前市场新增品牌并不多,但新品牌成功率低、失败率高,且不少“看起来有销量”的款子都在高レビュー、高投放环境下竞争,明显不适合小商家硬闯。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:新品竞争已经明显偏向价格与品牌硬仗,近一年新发布里只有22.22%赚钱,而整体可判定产品里也只有31.18%盈利;更关键的是,老品牌新推成功率27.78%,新品牌只有11.11%,但新品牌新推失败率高达88.89%,说明这里不是“低门槛机会”,而是需要强品牌力和持续投放才能活下来的市场。
这个市场不适合进入:新品牌成功率低、旧品牌主导,新品利润又明显偏薄,已经接近价格战区。 以当前数据看,小商家几乎没有“无套路”胜算;大品牌也不是好进场,除非愿意砸更高预算做品牌和差异化,否则大概率被压在低利润里。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GKMPNPXR | Momcozy | 2025-03-17 | Yes | $33.74 | 450pcs | $15183.0 | 26.4% | $4008.32 |
![]() | B0GKMG2VQ9 | Momcozy | 2025-02-28 | Yes | $33.13 | 450pcs | $14908.5 | 25.92% | $3864.29 |
![]() | B0GG9ZQ6YK | Momcozy | 2025-03-17 | Yes | $32.68 | 450pcs | $14706.0 | 25.68% | $3776.51 |
![]() | B0DT5TJ72V | Momcozy | 2026-03-18 | Yes | $32.31 | 400pcs | $12924.0 | 25.48% | $3293.04 |
![]() | B0CLL42NMT | COOLBEBE | 2023-10-23 | Yes | $16.47 | 500pcs | $8235.0 | 17.35% | $1428.78 |
![]() | B0F2FDHY2X | Kaseeous | 2025-03-29 | Yes | $19.99 | 300pcs | $5997.0 | 22.74% | $1363.72 |
![]() | B08FMKNLK6 | Pro Goleem | 2020-08-11 | Yes | $20.32 | 400pcs | $8128.0 | 16.58% | $1347.63 |
![]() | B0FJ84WSBP | THE KENKYO | 2025-08-21 | Yes | $27.25 | 200pcs | $5450.0 | 23.61% | $1286.75 |
![]() | B0FLDFVBW8 | TinlyFinly | 2025-10-18 | Yes | $27.99 | 200pcs | $5598.0 | 22.59% | $1264.59 |
![]() | B0F2F6H69Z | Kaseeous | 2025-03-29 | Yes | $20.16 | 300pcs | $6048.0 | 20.41% | $1234.4 |
![]() | B0DK14C1L3 | COOLBEBE | 2025-01-05 | Yes | $17.8 | 400pcs | $7120.0 | 15.66% | $1115.0 |
![]() | B0DGDH784R | TinlyFinly | 2024-09-08 | Yes | $27.99 | 150pcs | $4198.5 | 21.97% | $922.42 |
![]() | B0F64YZPQ3 | TinlyFinly | 2025-07-11 | Yes | $27.99 | 150pcs | $4198.5 | 20.09% | $843.48 |
![]() | B0F7XCL318 | mamatepe | 2025-05-13 | Yes | $28.95 | 100pcs | $2895.0 | 26.91% | $779.05 |
![]() | B0FLD93LF7 | TinlyFinly | 2025-10-18 | Yes | $27.99 | 150pcs | $4198.5 | 18.47% | $775.47 |
![]() | B0F7XJ4XTY | mamatepe | 2025-05-13 | Yes | $28.09 | 100pcs | $2809.0 | 25.98% | $729.78 |
![]() | B0F7X96N8S | mamatepe | 2025-05-13 | Yes | $27.23 | 100pcs | $2723.0 | 25.38% | $691.1 |
![]() | B0F3WTKCJM | Kaseeous | 2025-04-12 | Yes | $26.87 | 100pcs | $2687.0 | 24.18% | $649.72 |
![]() | B0FLDGS5V7 | TinlyFinly | 2025-10-18 | Yes | $27.99 | 100pcs | $2799.0 | 21.64% | $605.71 |
![]() | B0BYVHS4KD | mamatepe | 2023-03-18 | Yes | $26.89 | 100pcs | $2689.0 | 22.17% | $596.16 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0DT5TJ72V | Momcozy | 2026-03-18 | Yes | $32.31 | 400pcs | $12924.0 | 25.48% | $3293.04 |
![]() | B0FJ84WSBP | THE KENKYO | 2025-08-21 | Yes | $27.25 | 200pcs | $5450.0 | 23.61% | $1286.75 |
![]() | B0FLDFVBW8 | TinlyFinly | 2025-10-18 | Yes | $27.99 | 200pcs | $5598.0 | 22.59% | $1264.59 |
![]() | B0FLD93LF7 | TinlyFinly | 2025-10-18 | Yes | $27.99 | 150pcs | $4198.5 | 18.47% | $775.47 |
![]() | B0FLDGS5V7 | TinlyFinly | 2025-10-18 | Yes | $27.99 | 100pcs | $2799.0 | 21.64% | $605.71 |
![]() | B0GSDKW7WZ | Kaseeous | 2026-03-13 | Yes | $19.99 | 100pcs | $1999.0 | 15.91% | $318.05 |
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入。 新品牌只有2个,但新品成功率只有22.22%,整体新品可盈利率也只有31.18%,更关键的是大多数新品利润都挤在12.27%~24.40%这个区间里,已经是明显的价格竞争环境;同时,失败样本里大量品牌都在亏损或几乎没跑出来,说明这里不是“可轻松切入”的市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入:已经明显接近/进入饱和,而且新品牌成功率太低,竞争方式偏向价格战和高投入营销。 近一年几乎没有真正健康的新品牌扩张,反而是大量新上架里大多数都没跑通;你这个预算 50 万 CNY 只能覆盖单个 ASIN 的前期启动,勉强够做尝试,但不足以支撑长期烧钱打品牌战。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |