
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入偏拥挤、价格竞争变重的阶段。 新品牌只有18个,但并没有形成低门槛机会;相反,新上架产品的盈利率只有42.5%,新品牌新产品成功率也只有38.1%,近半年里亏损/不赚钱的新品已经明显增多,说明不是“新市场”,而是“越做越挤”的市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入,用户的 50 万 CNY 预算虽然足够覆盖单个新品的早期启动,但市场已经明显偏拥挤、利润被压薄,不适合当成一个稳妥的进入机会。 新品牌里真正跑出来的案例不多,能赚钱的新品依赖的不是低预算硬冲,而是更强的产品差异化、品牌感和持续投放。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,属于明显的价格战高风险市场。虽然总体可见利润产品占39.84%,但新产品盈利率只有42.50%,而且最近一批新品里,亏损/不赚钱的数量已经和赚钱的数量接近,说明竞争正在快速变差;更关键的是,用户目标价位下的大多数可见成功款利润率都只在10%~20%边缘,已经很接近你要求的“低于10%就是价格战区”的警戒线。
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏向价格战和过度拥挤。 新品整体盈利率只有42.5%,而新产品里只有37.5%落在10%~30%利润区间,10%以下的低利润/亏损占比已经达到10%,说明想靠普通打法赚钱并不容易;更关键的是,2025到2026年新品牌集中涌入,已出现明显的饱和信号。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0F62MWKGD | Vanplay | 2025-06-19 | Yes | $23.85 | 3000pcs | $71550.0 | 20.11% | $14388.71 |
![]() | B0B92RD41C | AIVIAI | 2023-06-13 | Yes | $23.01 | 3000pcs | $69030.0 | 16.75% | $11562.53 |
![]() | B0DRVLQBZQ | Topsochir | 2024-12-30 | Yes | $19.3 | 3500pcs | $67550.0 | 12.59% | $8504.55 |
![]() | B09PG61HV2 | Moonkie | 2022-01-20 | Yes | $13.84 | 3000pcs | $41520.0 | 15.15% | $6290.28 |
![]() | B00BOQXWGS | SmartNoggin | 2013-03-04 | Yes | $26.95 | 700pcs | $18865.0 | 28.78% | $5429.35 |
![]() | B0FZR168FZ | Vanplay | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $23.37 | 900pcs | $21033.0 | 19.5% | $4101.44 |
![]() | B088FGHDQ8 | hahaland | 2020-08-23 | Yes | $23.27 | 700pcs | $16289.0 | 21.71% | $3536.35 |
![]() | B0FYDWHWMB | JENTXON | 2025-11-26 | Yes | $22.44 | 700pcs | $15708.0 | 20.05% | $3149.46 |
B0DGQ1Z43P | evoceler | 2024-11-26 | Yes | $21.93 | 400pcs | $8772.0 | 31.76% | $2785.99 | |
![]() | B0D3BLJ541 | evoceler | 2024-06-06 | Yes | $21.57 | 400pcs | $8628.0 | 30.73% | $2651.39 |
![]() | B071YCHDX1 | iPlay, iLearn | 2017-06-08 | Yes | $23.95 | 900pcs | $21555.0 | 11.77% | $2537.03 |
![]() | B0CJ6Q3PV7 | ROHSCE | 2023-09-16 | Yes | $27.12 | 400pcs | $10848.0 | 21.87% | $2372.46 |
![]() | B0CT5NWXP3 | AWOTOY | 2024-01-24 | Yes | $19.95 | 700pcs | $13965.0 | 16.41% | $2291.66 |
![]() | B0FHKN2RXJ | iPlay, iLearn | 2025-10-30 | Yes | $14.68 | 800pcs | $11744.0 | 18.78% | $2205.53 |
![]() | B0F7KSQHRD | evoceler | 2025-05-06 | Yes | $22.35 | 400pcs | $8940.0 | 21.66% | $1936.41 |
![]() | B0FM3MDV2D | FREYBLI | 2025-08-12 | Yes | $22.95 | 450pcs | $10327.5 | 18.4% | $1900.26 |
![]() | B0FWRFNFZT | AZEN | 2025-12-07 | Yes | $18.86 | 700pcs | $13202.0 | 13.9% | $1835.08 |
![]() | B0CZ3T4PYT | Sumobaby | 2024-03-26 | Yes | $19.53 | 750pcs | $14647.5 | 12.36% | $1810.44 |
![]() | B0FSKSCRGH | Sumobaby | 2025-09-25 | Yes | $19.42 | 500pcs | $9710.0 | 18.52% | $1798.3 |
![]() | B0FF59R5T3 | AOYOHOMOA | 2025-06-23 | Yes | $19.02 | 600pcs | $11412.0 | 15.19% | $1733.49 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FZR168FZ | Vanplay | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $23.37 | 900pcs | $21033.0 | 19.5% | $4101.44 |
![]() | B0FYDWHWMB | JENTXON | 2025-11-26 | Yes | $22.44 | 700pcs | $15708.0 | 20.05% | $3149.46 |
![]() | B0FHKN2RXJ | iPlay, iLearn | 2025-10-30 | Yes | $14.68 | 800pcs | $11744.0 | 18.78% | $2205.53 |
![]() | B0FM3MDV2D | FREYBLI | 2025-08-12 | Yes | $22.95 | 450pcs | $10327.5 | 18.4% | $1900.26 |
![]() | B0FWRFNFZT | AZEN | 2025-12-07 | Yes | $18.86 | 700pcs | $13202.0 | 13.9% | $1835.08 |
![]() | B0FSKSCRGH | Sumobaby | 2025-09-25 | Yes | $19.42 | 500pcs | $9710.0 | 18.52% | $1798.3 |
![]() | B0FWRP2FSY | AZEN | 2025-12-29 | Yes | $18.82 | 650pcs | $12233.0 | 14.02% | $1715.07 |
![]() | B0FZB1F2Q1 | iPlay, iLearn | 2026-01-19 | Yes | $14.58 | 500pcs | $7290.0 | 20.2% | $1472.58 |
![]() | B0GYCV2CS9 | Vanplay | 2026-04-24 | Yes | $22.08 | 300pcs | $6624.0 | 14.7% | $973.73 |
![]() | B0FLXVFZ8W | JoyCat | 2025-08-11 | Yes | $24.23 | 100pcs | $2423.0 | 22.22% | $538.4 |
![]() | B0FPQX4SL5 | Vanplay | 2025-11-13 | Yes | $14.15 | 200pcs | $2830.0 | 16.98% | $480.54 |
B0FPX6869J | Jollybaby | 2025-10-27 | Yes | $18.13 | 100pcs | $1813.0 | 23.61% | $428.05 | |
![]() | B0GTS1VRMT | HABA | 2026-03-24 | Yes | $12.99 | 200pcs | $2598.0 | 14.5% | $376.71 |
![]() | B0FPX1JS8D | Jollybaby | 2025-10-21 | Yes | $17.18 | 50pcs | $859.0 | 22.27% | $191.3 |
![]() | B0GR4S38FY | YMLGMAY | 2026-03-04 | Yes | $19.52 | 50pcs | $976.0 | 14.98% | $146.21 |
![]() | B0FYPQQRP6 | TUOWITA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $12.99 | 50pcs | $649.5 | 21.19% | $137.63 |
![]() | B0GWDJW7TR | Little Rawr | 2026-04-07 | Yes | $15.99 | 50pcs | $799.5 | 14.34% | $114.65 |
这个市场不适合进入,尤其不适合小品牌。 新品整体盈利率只有42.5%,但真正能看出竞争现实的新品利润分布里,10%以下的新品占了7.5%,而20%以下的新品占了35%,说明这里不是轻松赚钱的市场;更关键的是,老品牌新品成功率47.37%,新品牌新品成功率38.10%,新品牌失败率57.14%,已经是明显的强竞争环境。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入高竞争、偏价格战的危险区。 2025年以来新品牌新上架的成功率只有40%,失败率60%,而最近几个月新上架里非盈利的数量明显抬头,说明竞争在加剧,不是机会在变多。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |