
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌成功率只有30%,但失败新品占68.42%,而且最近新品几乎都在被挤压,价格战已经很明显。 对小商家来说没有稳定、可复制的低风险路径;对大品牌来说也不是好赛道,除非你能做出明显功能/外观升级并接受更高投入,但即便如此也只是勉强可做,不是优质机会。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场对新卖家不友好,尤其已经出现价格战和挤压,新品牌想靠单个ASIN切入,风险很高,不建议现在进入。 你的50万人民币预算表面上够做一个新品,但它只覆盖前几个月的备货、头程、FBA和投放,不包含研发、品牌和认证;在这个类目里,真正能活下来的新入场,靠的不是“低预算复制”,而是明显差异化和持续投放。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入。 新品牌数量已经到达 7 个,虽未触发 30+ 的极端超饱和警报,但新上架产品里只有 30.00% 赚钱,说明竞争已经很紧;更关键的是,真正适合小商家的成功样本很少,且失败样本多集中在“外观相似、功能单一”的普通毛绒摇铃,价格战和同质化风险都很高。
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌并没有形成可复制的低风险机会,反而已经出现明显的挤压与价格战信号。 目前新产品里只有30.00%能赚钱,而在已能判断盈亏的新产品中,亏损/不赚钱占比高达68.42%;再看利润分布,所有产品里低于10%利润的占了11.11%,新产品里这一档也有5.00%,说明入场后很容易被成本和投放吞掉利润。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CKVS1CNH | Topsochir | 2023-10-11 | Yes | $19.2 | 4000pcs | $76800.0 | 15.65% | $12019.2 |
![]() | B0DRVBHZMX | Topsochir | 2024-12-30 | Yes | $19.23 | 4000pcs | $76920.0 | 12.64% | $9722.69 |
![]() | B0FZR168FZ | Vanplay | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $23.37 | 900pcs | $21033.0 | 19.5% | $4101.44 |
![]() | B0FR13P3FG | AWOTOY | 2025-11-20 | Yes | $20.89 | 900pcs | $18801.0 | 15.65% | $2942.36 |
![]() | B0FR1ZDJ14 | AWOTOY | 2025-11-14 | Yes | $19.89 | 650pcs | $12928.5 | 16.29% | $2106.06 |
![]() | B0FYDX4VRD | JENTXON | 2025-11-01 | Yes | $20.67 | 400pcs | $8268.0 | 17.74% | $1466.75 |
![]() | B0FCS8D7WV | Youuys | 2025-05-28 | Yes | $23.49 | 200pcs | $4698.0 | 27.0% | $1268.47 |
![]() | B0FJF9DY4S | PHEZAPA | 2025-08-25 | Yes | $19.71 | 200pcs | $3942.0 | 18.94% | $746.62 |
![]() | B0FKH1HRCL | TYRY.HU | 2025-07-30 | Yes | $13.97 | 200pcs | $2794.0 | 19.55% | $546.23 |
![]() | B0D7ZJT1BQ | Doindute | 2024-06-25 | Yes | $16.98 | 100pcs | $1698.0 | 27.62% | $468.99 |
![]() | B0D7HK5JVN | Holaxander | 2024-06-19 | Yes | $21.24 | 100pcs | $2124.0 | 12.33% | $261.89 |
![]() | B0D7H2MSJP | Holaxander | 2024-06-19 | Yes | $19.12 | 100pcs | $1912.0 | 13.03% | $249.14 |
![]() | B00IMNUHG4 | Bearington Collection | 2014-02-24 | Yes | $14.44 | 100pcs | $1444.0 | 16.72% | $241.44 |
![]() | B0BY3D4PQ2 | AVENLAND | 2023-03-10 | Yes | $13.99 | 100pcs | $1399.0 | 15.39% | $215.31 |
![]() | B002L6RAHC | Bearington Collection | 2011-04-09 | Yes | $15.26 | 50pcs | $763.0 | 25.35% | $193.43 |
![]() | B00XO0QFES | Bearington Collection | 2015-05-14 | Yes | $13.39 | 100pcs | $1339.0 | 13.17% | $176.35 |
![]() | B09879TQ3T | Apricot Lamb | 2021-06-29 | Yes | $15.99 | 50pcs | $799.5 | 19.71% | $157.59 |
![]() | B004A9EGTS | Bearington Collection | 2019-11-24 | Yes | $14.32 | 50pcs | $716.0 | 16.48% | $118.0 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FZR168FZ | Vanplay | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $23.37 | 900pcs | $21033.0 | 19.5% | $4101.44 |
![]() | B0FR13P3FG | AWOTOY | 2025-11-20 | Yes | $20.89 | 900pcs | $18801.0 | 15.65% | $2942.36 |
![]() | B0FR1ZDJ14 | AWOTOY | 2025-11-14 | Yes | $19.89 | 650pcs | $12928.5 | 16.29% | $2106.06 |
![]() | B0FYDX4VRD | JENTXON | 2025-11-01 | Yes | $20.67 | 400pcs | $8268.0 | 17.74% | $1466.75 |
![]() | B0FJF9DY4S | PHEZAPA | 2025-08-25 | Yes | $19.71 | 200pcs | $3942.0 | 18.94% | $746.62 |
![]() | B0FKH1HRCL | TYRY.HU | 2025-07-30 | Yes | $13.97 | 200pcs | $2794.0 | 19.55% | $546.23 |
这不是适合进入的市场:新品成功率只有30%,但失败新品占80%,整体利润率里10%~20%区间占多数,说明竞争已经很挤;更关键的是,新品牌里真正能靠纯新品赚钱的只有JENTXON、TYRY.HU、Vanplay这3个点,成功面太窄。市场并没有出现大规模新品增长红利,2025年有4个新品成功、12个新品失败,2026年又出现1个失败新品;同时高利润样本几乎都集中在老品牌AWOTOY、PHEZAPA和新品牌Vanplay/JENTXON/TYRY.HU这些少数玩家手里,说明门槛高、可复制空间小。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不该进,已经接近价格战区,而且新品牌成功率只有30%,真正能复制的“小品牌案例”几乎没有。 结论很直接:对大品牌来说也只是勉强可做,但要靠明显差异化和更高预算;对小商家来说,不是好机会。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |