
结论很明确:这个市场不适合现在进入。 新品牌进入已经接近价格战区,近一年有10个新品牌进场,但新品牌新品成功率只有7.14%,全市场新上架成功率也只有8.11%,都低于10%的高风险线;再加上新入场产品里91.89%不盈利,说明这里不是“还有机会”,而是“多数新手都在亏钱”。
预算现实结论:用户预算 500,000 CNY 勉强覆盖单个ASIN前期投入,但这类市场还需要额外的研发、品牌、认证和持续投放;以当前数据看,小商家要硬进几乎没有胜算,大品牌也只是“有可能打进去”,不是值得进入的好市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这不是一个适合现在进入的市场。用户预算500,000 CNY,能覆盖少数入场样本的前期成本,但市场本身已经明显偏向高压竞争:整体可识别产品里只有18.42%盈利,新上架产品盈利率更只有8.11%,而新品牌新品盈利率仅7.14%,失败率高达92.86%。
从预算看,最能赚钱的样本并不便宜:Kikcoin 的 B0FG2S3CX7 售价 50.84 美元,月销100、月营收508,400,利润率17.6%;它是新品牌里少数真正跑出来的案例。Zettum 的 B0FP87WC21 售价 37.37 美元,月销300、月营收1,121,100,利润率21.03%,但这是老品牌借旧ASIN做新释放的强势样本,不该拿来当小品牌模板。相反,STARTWO 4个新品全部不盈利,品牌层面新品盈利率0%,说明低预算新进场在这类产品上基本打不穿。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入价格战与饱和区。 关键原因不是单个爆款还在赚钱,而是新品牌新产品整体成功率只有8.11%,新品牌新发布盈利率仅7.14%,同时近一年新发布里非盈利样本远多于盈利样本,说明多数新入场都在亏钱或打不出稳定销量。
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近低利润红海,且新品牌成功主要靠老链接借壳、旧品牌资源和更强的产品差异化,不适合普通小商家硬冲。 现有数据里,已识别的新品利润大多落在20%~30%,但真正能赚钱的新品很少;而新品失败样本明显更多,说明这里不是“谁都能赚”,而是“只有少数做对差异化、预算和流量打法的人能活”。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CZDQ94WT | Yagvany | 2024-03-16 | Yes | $43.99 | 300pcs | $13197.0 | 26.12% | $3447.06 |
![]() | B0DFG6C2DC | Krismile | 2024-08-28 | Yes | $49.68 | 200pcs | $9936.0 | 29.14% | $2895.36 |
![]() | B0DBD2H6FP | Krismile | 2024-08-05 | Yes | $32.61 | 300pcs | $9783.0 | 25.36% | $2480.97 |
![]() | B0FP87WC21 | Zettum | 2025-10-10 | Yes | $37.37 | 300pcs | $11211.0 | 21.03% | $2357.68 |
![]() | B0D93R7DLS | Zettum | 2024-08-20 | Yes | $36.9 | 300pcs | $11070.0 | 19.82% | $2194.08 |
![]() | B0FG2S3CX7 | Kikcoin | 2025-08-22 | Yes | $50.84 | 100pcs | $5084.0 | 17.6% | $894.79 |
![]() | B0DLSFD9J6 | Krismile | 2024-11-02 | Yes | $49.99 | 50pcs | $2499.5 | 25.74% | $643.38 |
![]() | B0B7RYGQHC | LSongSKY | 2022-07-27 | Yes | $41.35 | 50pcs | $2067.5 | 26.58% | $549.55 |
![]() | B0DHP8HXVS | Iptienda | 2024-09-21 | Yes | $32.63 | 50pcs | $1631.5 | 26.92% | $439.2 |
![]() | B0CGHX4MGY | ANartcle | 2023-08-24 | Yes | $37.62 | 50pcs | $1881.0 | 22.98% | $432.26 |
![]() | B0FGC4XNLJ | Krismile | 2025-07-02 | Yes | $33.56 | 50pcs | $1678.0 | 22.13% | $371.35 |
![]() | B0D7D4B3SR | Kasla | 2024-06-19 | Yes | $27.95 | 50pcs | $1397.5 | 21.86% | $305.5 |
![]() | B0FPFM8YZF | QYILUARE | 2025-11-10 | Yes | $29.23 | 50pcs | $1461.5 | 20.18% | $294.94 |
![]() | B0DRX9SN32 | Exokugo | 2025-02-19 | Yes | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | 18.54% | $278.01 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FP87WC21 | Zettum | 2025-10-10 | Yes | $37.37 | 300pcs | $11211.0 | 21.03% | $2357.68 |
![]() | B0FG2S3CX7 | Kikcoin | 2025-08-22 | Yes | $50.84 | 100pcs | $5084.0 | 17.6% | $894.79 |
![]() | B0FPFM8YZF | QYILUARE | 2025-11-10 | Yes | $29.23 | 50pcs | $1461.5 | 20.18% | $294.94 |
这个市场不值得进入。 新品成功率只有8.11%,低于10%的高风险线;在已明确可判断的新品里,91.89%都不赚钱,说明这里已经接近价格战区,而且不是靠普通上新就能活下来的市场。对小品牌来说,真正的低门槛成功案例几乎只看到 Kikcoin 和 QYILUARE 这类少数样本,但其中 QYILUARE 和 Kikcoin 只有222和约222条评论,属于少量真实成功案例;其余失败样本大量集中在 STARTWO、COSHNIBI、Krismile 等品牌,显示竞争已经很拥挤。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这不是适合进入的市场。 近一年新品牌进入有10个,但新品牌新上架的成功率只有8.11%,远低于10%的高风险线;更关键的是,2025年后新上架几乎被失败淹没,2025年新品牌新产品只有2个成功、26个失败,2026年延续为0个成功、14个失败,说明不是机会窗口,而是明显的价格战和竞争加剧期。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |