
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显进入价格战和过度拥挤区。新品牌只有5个,但真正跑通的只有 O NAIL,整体新上架成功率仅9.09%,新品牌里也只有13.33%能赚钱,远低于你要求的15%可接受线;而且2025年后新产品明显增多,但大多数都落在“other”或亏损,说明竞争在加速、利润在向少数强势品牌集中。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,用户预算500000 CNY可以覆盖单个ASIN的前期投入,但市场本身已经偏向高风险、接近价格战。 新品盈利率只有9.09%,远低于你要求的15%可接受线;整体盈利率也只有22.22%,说明大多数产品并不赚钱,且最近几个月上新的产品几乎都落在“other”区间,利润不稳定。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不建议进入,结论很明确:新品牌已出现5个,但新发布里真正赚钱的只有9.09%,而新品牌新发布赚钱率只有13.33%,失败率高到73.33%。更糟的是,月度趋势在2025年后明显升温、但同时非盈利新发大量增加,说明竞争在加速,市场正在往更硬的价格战方向走。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战/过度拥挤,新的卖家成功概率很低。 现在看,市场里真正能跑出来的利润主要被少数大牌和旧品牌拿走,新品牌新上架的成功率只有9.09%,而新品牌里能赚钱的几乎只剩 O NAIL,说明不是普通小卖家能轻松切入的赛道。
证据也很直接:市场可见产品里只有22.22%是盈利的,而新产品里只有9.09%盈利,90.91%的新产品都不赚钱。 代表性赢家几乎都来自少数强势品牌:O NAIL 的 B0GS9DGC7V 月销300、月收入81,747美元、利润率48.4%,B0GSW7R3KD 月销50、月收入13,571.5美元、利润率47.61%;老品牌 M 的 B0C7LZ9JD8 月销200、利润率41.94%,B0CRPPXHRV 有1,513条评论、利润率41.43%,这类旧品牌明显靠品牌力和成熟链接在吃市场。反过来,失败新款很多,像 OWNICE 的 B0FLDGJLBL、B0FLDL6JHT、B0H36CYZ2P 全部不盈利,iGel Beauty 也有 5 个新款亏损,说明新品牌不是“进来就能赚”,而是大量试错、烧钱后仍不成功。市场在2025到2026年新上架明显增多,但失败数更高,趋势是竞争升温且向头部集中。
给你的判断:大品牌“可能”进场,但需要重投放、重产品、重品牌;小商家不建议进场,除非你能做出明显差异化并接受高预算风险。 这不是一个靠普通铺货就能赢的市场,小品牌若没有创新、品牌感或更强营销,基本只能陷入低效竞争;如果你要跟,最该跟的是 O NAIL 的 B0GS9DGC7V / B0GSW7R3KD,或老品牌 M 的 B0C7LZ9JD8 / B0CKLF1LH6,但这类打法本质上是高客单、高性能、高品牌投入,不适合常规小卖家。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B0GS9DGC7V | O NAIL | 2026-03-12 | Yes | $272.49 | 300pcs | $81747.0 | 48.4% | $39565.55 | |
B0CKLF1LH6 | Makartt | 2023-12-07 | Yes | $116.99 | 200pcs | $23398.0 | 44.15% | $10330.22 | |
B0C7LZ9JD8 | M | 2023-06-10 | Yes | $116.99 | 200pcs | $23398.0 | 41.94% | $9813.13 | |
![]() | B0GSW7R3KD | O NAIL | 2026-03-17 | Yes | $271.43 | 50pcs | $13571.5 | 47.61% | $6461.4 |
![]() | B0F6TY2C6H | Kredioo | 2025-04-29 | Yes | $106.08 | 100pcs | $10608.0 | 43.13% | $4575.24 |
![]() | B0F23W7HP5 | HoMove | 2025-03-21 | Yes | $125.45 | 50pcs | $6272.5 | 43.37% | $2720.39 |
![]() | B0C7LYRGZ7 | M | 2023-06-10 | Yes | $116.99 | 50pcs | $5849.5 | 41.94% | $2453.29 |
![]() | B0FHGV16R8 | Makartt | 2025-08-18 | Yes | $117.7 | 50pcs | $5885.0 | 41.35% | $2433.45 |
B0F6T8WMX6 | Kredioo | 2025-04-29 | Yes | $106.22 | 50pcs | $5311.0 | 43.32% | $2300.73 | |
![]() | B0CRPPCD89 | M | 2024-01-06 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.45% | $2279.55 |
![]() | B09Q5XRSSY | M | 2022-01-11 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.44% | $2279.0 |
![]() | B09Q58S2T4 | M | 2022-01-11 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.44% | $2279.0 |
B0CRPPXHRV | M | 2024-01-06 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.43% | $2278.45 | |
![]() | B09Q5H4ZMM | M | 2022-01-11 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.43% | $2278.45 |
![]() | B0C1CRGTKG | M | 2022-12-10 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.41% | $2277.35 |
![]() | B0C1CWXV1P | M | 2022-12-10 | Yes | $109.99 | 50pcs | $5499.5 | 41.33% | $2272.95 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
B0GS9DGC7V | O NAIL | 2026-03-12 | Yes | $272.49 | 300pcs | $81747.0 | 48.4% | $39565.55 | |
![]() | B0GSW7R3KD | O NAIL | 2026-03-17 | Yes | $271.43 | 50pcs | $13571.5 | 47.61% | $6461.4 |
![]() | B0FHGV16R8 | Makartt | 2025-08-18 | Yes | $117.7 | 50pcs | $5885.0 | 41.35% | $2433.45 |
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,尤其不适合小品牌。 新品整体盈利率只有9.09%,已低于10%的高风险线;虽然少数产品能做到40%+高毛利,但成功几乎被少数老牌和少量强势新牌吃掉,典型是高门槛、强投放、强差异化市场,不是可轻松切入的机会。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,整体已经接近价格战和饱和区,尤其不适合小品牌。 近期新品牌几乎都是失败,真正能跑出来的只有 O NAIL 这种强品牌/高投入案例;而新品牌里成功率只有 15.38%,失败率高达 84.62%,这不是可复制的低门槛机会。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |