
这个市场不建议进入:新品牌已经明显偏多,且近一年新品成功率只有26.09%,失败率高达72.73%,再加上最近上新仍以失败样本为主,说明竞争在继续加剧,不是变松。利润上也不是健康区间,很多新品要么直接亏损,要么卡在低利润边缘,市场已经接近价格战和强品牌挤压状态。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场已经明显偏饱和,且正在被价格战和强品牌挤压。 你的预算 50万 CNY 只能覆盖少数入场样本的前期成本,但对大多数可复制的新款来说并不稳,尤其是还没算研发、品牌和认证费用。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这不是适合现在进入的市场:新品牌数量已经明显偏多,而且新产品盈利率只有26.09%,失败率高达73.91%;老品牌新上架的非盈利率更高,达到80.95%,说明这里已经是强竞争、强淘汰环境。 结论很直接:大品牌和小商家都不该按常规方式进入,尤其不能把它当成低门槛机会。
这个市场不适合现在进入:新品牌已经明显过度拥挤,且大量新产品利润停在10%以下的低位,属于高风险价格战市场。 你500,000 CNY的预算虽然足以覆盖少数入场方案,但按当前竞争强度,这笔钱更像是在买“入场资格”,不是买成功概率。
从利润分布看,全部样本里低于10%利润的产品占2.46%,10%~20%占9.02%,20%~40%占44.26%,但仍有40.16%落在“无有效利润数据/无法判断”区间;新产品里,低于10%只有2.17%,10%~20%有6.52%,20%~40%有30.43%,40%以上只有4.35%。这说明能跑出来的新品大多依赖20%~40%利润,但真正低门槛的10%~20%只占很小一部分,市场不是靠普通新品就能稳稳赚钱的地方。更关键的是,新品牌里 Waterpik 的新品 B0FW29X5ZZ 直接做到 39.16% 利润、月销10,000、月收入419,600美元,但预算高达103,423.35美元;usmile 的 B0FNCYLZZV、B0GBWGJRCY 也都是40%+高利润,说明高利润基本被强品牌和高投入方案拿走了。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0BG52SJ5N | COSLUS | 2022-06-30 | Yes | $33.93 | 60000pcs | $2035800.0 | 36.58% | $744695.64 |
![]() | B0FW29X5ZZ | Waterpik | 2025-11-26 | Yes | $41.96 | 10000pcs | $419600.0 | 39.16% | $164315.36 |
![]() | B0D1FZW65X | COSLUS | 2024-04-11 | Yes | $33.59 | 7000pcs | $235130.0 | 36.54% | $85916.51 |
![]() | B0BJ1H89KV | COSLUS | 2022-09-22 | Yes | $40.79 | 3000pcs | $122370.0 | 39.45% | $48274.97 |
![]() | B0DJ1F64WN | COSLUS | 2024-09-26 | Yes | $26.18 | 5000pcs | $130900.0 | 34.33% | $44937.97 |
![]() | B0GBWGJRCY | usmile | 2025-12-22 | Yes | $66.85 | 1000pcs | $66850.0 | 41.57% | $27789.55 |
![]() | B0FNCYLZZV | usmile | 2025-08-22 | Yes | $66.9 | 900pcs | $60210.0 | 40.65% | $24475.37 |
![]() | B0FP2QJ8FB | COSLUS | 2025-08-29 | Yes | $30.08 | 2000pcs | $60160.0 | 32.22% | $19383.56 |
![]() | B0FFGSXFG6 | COSLUS | 2025-06-25 | Yes | $27.82 | 2000pcs | $55640.0 | 33.05% | $18389.02 |
![]() | B0D1FXVDYC | COSLUS | 2024-04-11 | Yes | $42.69 | 1000pcs | $42690.0 | 41.82% | $17852.96 |
![]() | B0FK56GHXJ | COSLUS | 2025-07-28 | Yes | $52.89 | 950pcs | $50245.5 | 35.5% | $17837.16 |
![]() | B0D24HRF64 | Aquasonic | 2024-04-18 | Yes | $37.51 | 1000pcs | $37510.0 | 37.84% | $14193.79 |
![]() | B0DXKJF56D | usmile | 2025-02-18 | Yes | $66.85 | 500pcs | $33425.0 | 41.57% | $13894.78 |
![]() | B0GQSLJDZH | Gywwn | 2026-04-26 | Yes | $55.18 | 500pcs | $27590.0 | 37.97% | $10475.93 |
![]() | B0C7G7LQ54 | Oralfree | 2023-07-01 | Yes | $39.69 | 700pcs | $27783.0 | 37.56% | $10435.3 |
![]() | B0DJ1GBJK7 | COSLUS | 2024-09-26 | Yes | $28.74 | 1000pcs | $28740.0 | 35.86% | $10306.17 |
![]() | B0FY29F9JC | R FLORY | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $56.79 | 500pcs | $28395.0 | 36.25% | $10293.19 |
![]() | B0B1H1RWYL | Oralfree | 2022-05-24 | Yes | $37.87 | 700pcs | $26509.0 | 36.8% | $9755.32 |
![]() | B0FG2LQJDY | COSLUS | 2025-06-30 | Yes | $29.48 | 500pcs | $14740.0 | 34.09% | $5024.87 |
![]() | B0FG2KLH56 | COSLUS | 2025-06-30 | Yes | $28.98 | 500pcs | $14490.0 | 34.32% | $4972.97 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FW29X5ZZ | Waterpik | 2025-11-26 | Yes | $41.96 | 10000pcs | $419600.0 | 39.16% | $164315.36 |
![]() | B0GBWGJRCY | usmile | 2025-12-22 | Yes | $66.85 | 1000pcs | $66850.0 | 41.57% | $27789.55 |
![]() | B0FNCYLZZV | usmile | 2025-08-22 | Yes | $66.9 | 900pcs | $60210.0 | 40.65% | $24475.37 |
![]() | B0FP2QJ8FB | COSLUS | 2025-08-29 | Yes | $30.08 | 2000pcs | $60160.0 | 32.22% | $19383.56 |
![]() | B0FK56GHXJ | COSLUS | 2025-07-28 | Yes | $52.89 | 950pcs | $50245.5 | 35.5% | $17837.16 |
![]() | B0GQSLJDZH | Gywwn | 2026-04-26 | Yes | $55.18 | 500pcs | $27590.0 | 37.97% | $10475.93 |
![]() | B0FY29F9JC | R FLORY | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $56.79 | 500pcs | $28395.0 | 36.25% | $10293.19 |
![]() | B0H3PCGZCJ | Cemobene | 2025-12-02 | Yes | $56.22 | 100pcs | $5622.0 | 39.8% | $2237.56 |
![]() | B0FPWGM2X3 | FRESKO | 2025-11-11 | Yes | $17.53 | 500pcs | $8765.0 | 19.23% | $1685.51 |
![]() | B0FX4JZSFX | Ariflow | 2025-10-21 | Yes | $18.99 | 700pcs | $13293.0 | 12.66% | $1682.9 |
![]() | B0FWK5PS56 | RUMFFLYE | 2025-10-26 | Yes | $20.55 | 50pcs | $1027.5 | 26.38% | $271.06 |
![]() | B0FWK4WRPS | Ariflow | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $18.99 | 50pcs | $949.5 | 14.15% | $134.36 |
这个市场不值得进入:新品成功率只有26.09%,但真正的新品牌新品盈利率只有32.00%,同时非盈利新品高达60.00%;更关键的是,老品牌占据了45.65%的新品盘子,说明这个市场是典型的高竞争、强品牌壁垒市场。 你可以看到,能赚钱的样本里,真正的新品牌成功并不多,更多是COSLUS、usmile这类老品牌靠品牌力和老链接延伸拿下结果;小品牌想复制成功,必须走明确差异化,而不是普通公模堆参数。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经接近价格战/过度拥挤状态。 近一年新品成功率只有26.09%,但失败新品占65.22%,而且2025年到2026年持续有大量新品牌/新产品涌入,竞争不是变轻,而是在变难。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |