
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战市场,而且新品牌进入空间很小。 新品利润率只有3.36%~9.12%,新品整体盈利率只有8.00%,新品牌新品盈利率也只有10.00%,这意味着大多数新货一上来就被压在低利润或亏损区间;对大品牌和小商家都不是好机会,尤其不是现在。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,500,000 CNY 也不够做出安全胜率。 这是一个明显的价格战市场,已出现新品牌扎堆、低利润和失败率过高的组合;对大品牌和小品牌都不是好机会。
证据很硬:市场整体可盈利产品只占 4.29%,新品盈利率只有 8.00%,已经低于你要求的高风险阈值;新品牌新品盈利率 10.00%,但同时新品牌新品未达标比例高达 90.00%。 头部新品里,MLIKLU 的两款成功样本 B0GDML1HMM 和 B0GDMDRMCQ 虽然能活下来,但利润率只有 11.39% 和 12.34%,都没到你定义的“稳妥”区间;而同品牌另外 6 个新品都亏损,分别是 B0GDM77V2T、B0GDMLYHK3、B0GDMZC99M、B0GCLP2MDW、B0GCLLMFYS、B0GLZ4C35S。更糟的是,最典型的失败款 B0GDM77V2T 利润率只有 3.27%,B0GDMZC99M 5.31%,B0GCLP2MDW 7.78%,B0GCLLMFYS 7.64%,都落在明显低利润区。市场投资门槛也不低,新品推荐预算大约 278,933.98 到 294,689.97 USD,换算下来远高于 500,000 CNY;而且这个预算只够前期备货、物流和投放,不含研发、品牌和认证,实际压力更大。市场趋势上,旧品牌仍占新产品约 20.00%,说明老玩家还在持续卡位,新品牌并不是在轻松吃增量。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这不是一个值得进入的市场:新品利润率整体偏低、成功率只有4.29%,而且新品牌成活率只有8.00%,已经落在高风险区。 这个类目里真正能赚钱的案例非常少,更多是靠老牌子长期压着打,价格战已经很明显;对大品牌和小商家来说,都不建议现在入场。
这个市场不适合进入,已经处于明显过热和价格战状态。 目前新品里只有52%落在0%~10%利润区间,真正达到10%以上的新品只占8%,而整体市场里低于10%的产品占比更高,说明大多数卖家都被压在很薄的利润里;更关键的是,新品牌里只有 MLIKLU 这一家被识别出来,且它的新产品成功率只有25%,并不是“低成本小卖家轻松成功”的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GDMDRMCQ | MLIKLU | 2026-02-13 | Yes | $22.24 | 1000pcs | $22240.0 | 12.34% | $2744.42 |
![]() | B0GDML1HMM | MLIKLU | 2026-02-13 | Yes | $21.14 | 1000pcs | $21140.0 | 11.39% | $2407.85 |
B0CTYT53XM | Grow Forward | 2024-02-04 | Yes | $25.34 | 50pcs | $1267.0 | 10.64% | $134.81 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GDMDRMCQ | MLIKLU | 2026-02-13 | Yes | $22.24 | 1000pcs | $22240.0 | 12.34% | $2744.42 |
![]() | B0GDML1HMM | MLIKLU | 2026-02-13 | Yes | $21.14 | 1000pcs | $21140.0 | 11.39% | $2407.85 |
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,属于高风险、接近价格战的环境。 新品整体只有8.00%盈利,新品牌新品只有10.00%盈利,老品牌新品更是0.00%;同时,2025年以来新品发布集中爆发,但几乎全部失败,说明竞争正在快速加剧而不是打开窗口。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显过热区。 新品牌只有4个,但新品牌新上架产品的成功率只有10%,而失败率高达90%;最近几个月几乎都是非盈利新品在增加,利润端没有跟上,说明竞争正在加剧、价格战已经形成。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |