
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显价格战+同质化竞争,新品牌基本没有真实成功样本。用户预算50万人民币表面上够做单个ASIN的前期启动,但按当前数据,真正的难点不是起步,而是起步后也很难做出健康利润。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不值得进入,尤其已经呈现出明显的价格战和同质化竞争。 用户预算 50万CNY 只能覆盖少数单品的前期铺货、物流和投放,但样本里真正跑出来的,几乎都是老品牌;新品牌要么亏损,要么还没跑出有效销量。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经是高压竞争区。 证据很直接:新品牌 Molicity、OMOTON 的新上架产品全部没跑通,旧品牌的新上架也全部没跑通,说明新品成功率接近 0%,而且定价已经被压到 7.69–8.08 美元这种很薄的区间,典型价格战。
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌几乎没有成功样本,且新上架产品盈利率为0%,整体已进入低利润/高竞争状态。 以当前数据看,买家需求被老品牌和少数强势品牌卡住了,新品牌如果想进场,基本只能靠更高投放、更强信任背书或功能差异化,不然很难活下来。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DRY2VVHP | amFilm | 2024-12-31 | Yes | $12.84 | 5000pcs | $64200.0 | 23.72% | $15228.24 |
![]() | B0F5LVK74G | ivoler | 2025-04-19 | Yes | $9.07 | 600pcs | $5442.0 | 13.08% | $711.82 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FL6YWDHQ | OMOTON | 2025-08-05 | No | $8.08 | 50pcs | $404.0 | 2.52% | $10.19 |
![]() | B0GK2HGBBV | Molicity | 2026-01-27 | No | $7.69 | -pcs | $- | -2.5% | $- |
![]() | B0GV7JQ3B9 | amFilm | 2026-03-28 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GGBF5T2H | ivoler | 2026-01-12 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入:它已经接近/进入价格战和过度拥挤状态,新品牌几乎没有真实成功样本,小商家与大品牌都不应继续押注。 直接看结论:新上架产品成功率为0%,整体可识别盈利产品只占22.22%,而最近一批新品几乎全部在亏或赚不到钱,说明不是“有机会但难”,而是现在就很难赚到钱。
证据很明确:近一年新产品里,2025年只有1个新品非盈利,2026年又新增3个新品非盈利,趋势是失速且转差;新品牌里,OMOTON 和 Molicity 的新品都失败,new brand 新品盈利率也是0%。老品牌里,ivoler 虽然总胜率50%,但它的成功来自老牌信任和已有高评价(B0F5LVK74G,5.5万+评价,月销600,月营收5442美元),这不是新人可复制的起点;相反,OMOTON 的 B0FL6YWDHQ 只卖 50 件/月,月营收404美元,利润率仅2.5%,早期投入1599.84美元,说明即使有一定销量,也远远不够形成健康利润。再看失败样本,B0DYDX5XW6、B0DYNRT35J、B0FL6YWDHQ、B0GK2HGBBV 都是高度同质化的贴膜,说明这个赛道已经是“功能差不多、价格往下压”的竞争环境。
对两类卖家的判断也很清楚:大品牌可以勉强靠老资产、品牌力和高评价维持,B0F5LVK74G 是可模仿的唯一正面样本;小商家则没有合法、真实的成功案例可学,且如果想强行打进去,很可能要靠高频投放、重营销甚至接近“predatory competitors”的打法。 你的预算是50万人民币,表面上足够启动单个ASIN,但这个市场的问题不是“起步钱够不够”,而是起步后仍然很难把利润做出来;在这种新品成功率0%、新品普遍<10%利润、且月度趋势持续恶化的市场里,我不会建议你进入。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论是明确的:已进入价格战区,而且对新品牌几乎是封死的。 近一年新品牌新上架成功率是0%,所有可识别的新品牌新上架都没跑出来;同时,样本里可见的新品牌只有OMOTON和Molicity,两者新上架全是亏损,说明不是“少数人失败”,而是新入场方式本身就不成立。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |