
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入价格战区,且新品牌成功率为0%,不是机会市场。 用户50万人民币预算理论上能覆盖单个ASIN的前期启动,但在这里预算不是优势,因为真正的问题是新品几乎都跑不出正利润,且新增产品最近几个月连续失败,趋势是变差不是变好。
证据很直接:市场里只有3个新品牌,分别是 EARLESS BEAR、VEVOR、UNITEDPOWER,但这3个新品牌的3个新发产品里,盈利数是0,成功率是0.00%;按全市场新发产品看,9个新发样本全部不盈利,成功率同样是0.00%。利润面也偏向低位,整体新发产品利润区间只有4.33%到19.79%,而近期样本里已经出现不少低于10%甚至负利润的产品,说明这里已经是明显的价格竞争环境。更关键的是,真正能赚钱的样本几乎都来自老品牌 OUTNILI、voze、KLEBV 这类成熟玩家;OUTNILI 一家就有10个盈利产品、6个亏损产品,盈利产品里不少月销400件、售价在21.39到24.98美元之间,单个可见投入也在几千美元级别,说明它靠的是老品牌铺货和持续运营,不是新小商家容易复制的路径。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:不建议进入,这个市场已经明显接近价格战区,新品牌成功率为0%,而且新上架产品全部没跑通。 你的50万人民币预算理论上能覆盖单个ASIN的前期启动,但在这个市场里,钱不是主要问题,真正的问题是新品几乎不赚钱、还在持续被老品牌压制。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌成功率为0%,新上架产品盈利率为0%,而且样本里已经出现明显价格战。 结果非常明确:大品牌还有生存空间,但小商家基本没有胜算;如果没有更强的品牌力、创新或预算,建议直接放弃。
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入明显的价格战/饱和区。 核心原因很直接:新产品里有 100% 都没跑出稳定盈利,而已知利润分布里 <10% 的低利润产品占 30.94%,再加上新品牌新发产品盈利率是 0%,说明新进入者几乎没有真实成功样本,进入后很容易先亏钱。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CZ8GQB8Q | voze | 2024-05-01 | Yes | $27.05 | 450pcs | $12172.5 | 30.88% | $3758.87 |
![]() | B0CK15X6SM | voze | 2023-09-28 | Yes | $15.51 | 1000pcs | $15510.0 | 18.72% | $2903.48 |
![]() | B0BZD9KZPN | OUTNILI | 2023-03-23 | Yes | $24.98 | 400pcs | $9992.0 | 18.69% | $1867.51 |
![]() | B0CY2J96CY | OUTNILI | 2024-03-14 | Yes | $24.5 | 400pcs | $9800.0 | 18.1% | $1773.8 |
![]() | B0CY2M6LDR | OUTNILI | 2024-03-08 | Yes | $21.39 | 400pcs | $8556.0 | 16.01% | $1369.82 |
![]() | B0DLVQTJLW | OUTNILI | 2024-11-04 | Yes | $17.68 | 400pcs | $7072.0 | 18.88% | $1335.2 |
![]() | B0DLVSNL7D | OUTNILI | 2024-11-04 | Yes | $17.62 | 400pcs | $7048.0 | 18.78% | $1323.62 |
![]() | B0CM3FNC93 | OUTNILI | 2023-11-16 | Yes | $16.61 | 400pcs | $6644.0 | 17.38% | $1154.73 |
![]() | B0CG1DG6CT | OUTNILI | 2023-10-09 | Yes | $16.64 | 400pcs | $6656.0 | 16.51% | $1098.91 |
![]() | B0D9BQ82CT | OUTNILI | 2024-07-12 | Yes | $15.69 | 400pcs | $6276.0 | 14.77% | $926.97 |
![]() | B0CBVHHJ6M | OUTNILI | 2023-08-28 | Yes | $16.6 | 300pcs | $4980.0 | 16.6% | $826.68 |
![]() | B0CZ7XHSBW | voze | 2024-03-28 | Yes | $12.75 | 450pcs | $5737.5 | 13.89% | $796.94 |
![]() | B0CM2YGSPK | voze | 2023-11-30 | Yes | $16.5 | 200pcs | $3300.0 | 16.41% | $541.53 |
![]() | B0CX1J2MJR | ZONGOOL | 2024-03-04 | Yes | $16.04 | 200pcs | $3208.0 | 16.46% | $528.04 |
![]() | B0B77FJZR8 | IMILLET | 2022-07-21 | Yes | $16.59 | 200pcs | $3318.0 | 14.75% | $489.41 |
![]() | B0DXZPF283 | FunCee | 2025-02-21 | Yes | $15.89 | 200pcs | $3178.0 | 14.53% | $461.77 |
![]() | B0CX1K6TYZ | ZONGOOL | 2024-03-04 | Yes | $13.59 | 200pcs | $2718.0 | 13.96% | $379.44 |
![]() | B0CY2K3CN8 | OUTNILI | 2024-03-14 | Yes | $24.99 | 50pcs | $1249.5 | 18.56% | $231.91 |
![]() | B0CXJ44GN2 | KLEBV | 2024-03-09 | Yes | $15.99 | 50pcs | $799.5 | 19.35% | $154.71 |
![]() | B0CZ8GMXJT | voze | 2024-03-28 | Yes | $11.48 | 100pcs | $1148.0 | 11.93% | $136.96 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FPX2S7BZ | OUTNILI | 2025-09-05 | No | $10.56 | 400pcs | $4224.0 | -2.6% | $-109.82 |
![]() | B0FNQFGBX4 | OUTNILI | 2025-08-26 | No | $14.55 | 400pcs | $5820.0 | 8.92% | $519.15 |
![]() | B0GJZ384Z7 | baecel | 2026-01-27 | No | $14.98 | 550pcs | $8239.0 | 10.92% | $899.7 |
![]() | B0GGXZW81M | OUTNILI | 2026-01-15 | No | $21.5 | -pcs | $- | 12.3% | $- |
![]() | B0GVNK1LFS | EARLESS BEAR | 2026-04-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GWVV6WWH | OUTNILI | 2026-04-11 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FRFN9ZRZ | VEVOR | 2025-09-17 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FKM5GNH7 | UNITEDPOWER | 2025-07-31 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0H397KX57 | Lifewit | 2026-05-29 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
结论很直接:这个市场不适合进入,已经接近或落入价格战区,且新品牌几乎没有合法成功样本。 现有数据里,新发布产品成功率是0%,总体可识别利润产品占比只有31.25%,而新品牌/老品牌的新发产品都没有跑出任何盈利案例,这说明不是“机会多”,而是“活下来都难”。
证据上看,市场里老品牌更像在收割存量:OUTNILI 16个产品里10个盈利、6个亏损,成功率62.5%,但它的成功主要来自老产品和老链接延伸,不是新品牌友好的环境;核心样本 B0CY2K3CN8 属于 OUTNILI,售价24.99美元,利润率18.6%,月销50件,早期投入约4861.92美元,说明即使能盈利,也需要成熟老品牌的运营和铺货能力。相反,新品牌侧是清一色失败:EARLESS BEAR、UNITEDPOWER、VEVOR 的新发产品全部不盈利;baecel 的 B0GJZ384Z7 虽然有299条评论,但属于新链接老产品型,且未盈利,更像强推流量而不是小商家自然起量;B0CY2K3CN8 这类老品牌胜出公式也明确写的是“BASED_ON_OLD_ASIN”,不是创新型新入口。市场时间趋势也不好看,2025到2026的新发样本几乎全部是非盈利,最近几个月连续出现失败,说明竞争在加剧而不是改善。
给你的关键判断:大品牌若要进,必须准备明显高于单个ASIN起步成本的长期预算和品牌投入,但仍然不建议;小商家更不应进,真正可参考的“合法小商家成功”样本基本没有,反而有多只产品落在高评论高销量但低利润的灰区,像 B0GJZ384Z7(299评)、B0FRFN9ZRZ、B0FKM5GNH7 这类新发但不盈利的案例,说明这个市场很可能需要激进投放甚至带刷评式打法才能站住脚。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显过热且接近价格战。 近期香港新进入者几乎没有成功案例,最近一批新释放产品的盈利率是0%,而且样本里最近一年新增的都是失败单,说明门槛在快速升高,不是机会在变多。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |