
结论很明确:这个市场不适合现在进入,已经是明显的价格战高风险区,而且新品牌几乎没有可复制的成功样本。 26个新发布里,盈利率是0%,市场整体可识别盈利率只有10.34%,而且最近一批新品牌的新产品全军覆没,说明不是“选品没选对”,而是这个类目当前就很难赚到钱。
证据非常直接:新品牌只有6个,但18个新品牌新品全部不盈利;新增品牌数量已经达到你设定的过度拥挤警戒线,市场正在走向饱和。 具体看,Heyife 6个新品全亏,Yerliker 6个新品全亏,UPABLUNSO 3个新品全亏,Pofucckly 1个新品也亏;时间上看,2025年到2026年持续有新产品进入,但每个月能确认盈利的新品都是0,最新月份的新增也没有任何盈利转化,这不是上升市场,而是越来越挤。产品端也很说明问题:失败样本普遍卡在 4.5%~5.7% 的薄利区间,像 Heyife 的 B0GY4TY6F2 利润率只有4.5%,B0GY4JXCLY 只有5.74%,Pofucckly 的 B0H1W37FQ5 也只有4.67%;只有老品牌 Couch Buddy 的 B0D9QDP13P 还能做到17.95%利润率,且它已经有220个评价、9432美元月收入,这类老牌强势款更像是大品牌护城河,不是小商家能轻松复制的样本。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这不是一个适合进入的市场:已经明显价格战化,而且新品牌几乎没有成功样本。 现有数据里,新品盈利率为0%,新发布产品里没有任何可确认盈利的案例;市场整体可识别盈利率只有10.34%,但新品牌近一年里 19 个新品全部亏损,3 个新品发布的旧品牌/成熟品牌也同样亏损,说明现在进场大概率先烧钱再亏损。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌新上架成功率为0%,新上架盈利率也是0%,而且已经出现明显的价格战/低利润陷阱。 更关键的是,2026年新增新品牌已集中出现,按你给的规则这已经是 oversaturation 警报;如果硬进,基本只能靠更重的投放和更激进的打法去抢位。
这个市场不值得进入:已经明显走向新品牌过度拥挤,且新品牌利润表现接近全面失守。 以你50万人民币预算来看,虽然资金表面上够做单个ASIN,但这类市场更像是高投入换低胜率,且要额外承担研发、品牌和认证成本,实际风险远高于账面预算。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0D9QDP13P | Couch Buddy | 2024-07-19 | Yes | $31.44 | 300pcs | $9432.0 | 17.95% | $1693.05 |
![]() | B0DYJ7PVTY | CLESOO | 2025-02-26 | Yes | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | 21.34% | $320.0 |
![]() | B0D5R7DM2K | CLESOO | 2024-07-18 | Yes | $27.95 | 50pcs | $1397.5 | 19.12% | $267.21 |
![]() | B0DYJG6CYY | CLESOO | 2025-02-26 | Yes | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | 17.77% | $266.47 |
![]() | B0CZCK3L1B | FINTHECH | 2024-03-29 | Yes | $26.63 | 50pcs | $1331.5 | 14.15% | $188.41 |
![]() | B0D9VRQ76Y | LVVIL | 2024-07-22 | Yes | $23.05 | 50pcs | $1152.5 | 10.8% | $124.47 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0H1W37FQ5 | Pofucckly | 2026-05-15 | No | $20.45 | 50pcs | $1022.5 | 4.67% | $47.76 |
![]() | B0FMS6TSK7 | RGBDOT | 2025-08-18 | No | $28.87 | 50pcs | $1443.5 | 5.07% | $73.19 |
![]() | B0FMS6ZTVR | RGBDOT | 2025-08-18 | No | $29.13 | 50pcs | $1456.5 | 6.37% | $92.78 |
![]() | B0GCMZZBHY | GlikCeil | 2025-12-26 | No | $27.2 | 100pcs | $2720.0 | 4.24% | $115.33 |
![]() | B0H1QFNZYP | CLESOO | 2026-05-14 | No | $29.4 | -pcs | $- | 17.25% | $- |
![]() | B0GY4TY6F2 | Heyife | 2026-05-30 | No | $23.99 | -pcs | $- | 4.5% | $- |
![]() | B0GTVDCV1Y | Yerliker | 2026-03-25 | No | $34.16 | -pcs | $- | -5.47% | $- |
![]() | B0GCWTCNK7 | NAVORIX | 2025-12-28 | No | $24.07 | -pcs | $- | 6.46% | $- |
![]() | B0GSDNTQ5R | Heyife | 2026-03-27 | No | $22.4 | -pcs | $- | -16.7% | $- |
![]() | B0GY4JXCLY | Heyife | 2026-05-30 | No | $23.9 | -pcs | $- | 5.74% | $- |
![]() | B0GTV8RVVK | Yerliker | 2026-03-25 | No | $35.5 | -pcs | $- | -4.01% | $- |
![]() | B0GY4H9C59 | Heyife | 2026-05-30 | No | $23.99 | -pcs | $- | 5.92% | $- |
![]() | B0FMS52831 | RGBDOT | 2025-08-18 | No | $26.4 | -pcs | $- | 13.67% | $- |
![]() | B0GY18K8PR | UPABLUNSO | 2026-04-21 | No | $28.57 | -pcs | $- | 12.28% | $- |
![]() | B0GY13YT5H | UPABLUNSO | 2026-04-21 | No | $29.09 | -pcs | $- | 12.86% | $- |
![]() | B0FMS3VBDR | RGBDOT | 2025-08-18 | No | $28.22 | -pcs | $- | 4.55% | $- |
![]() | B0GF21THR9 | RollTray | 2026-01-30 | No | $27.98 | -pcs | $- | 0.79% | $- |
![]() | B0GTVHM4GK | Yerliker | 2026-03-25 | No | $34.5 | -pcs | $- | -4.14% | $- |
![]() | B0GY4CSCPF | Heyife | 2026-05-30 | No | $23.99 | -pcs | $- | 4.5% | $- |
![]() | B0GTVDVMTN | Yerliker | 2026-03-25 | No | $35.3 | -pcs | $- | -3.29% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入:新品成功率为0%,利润率高的空间又被挤到很窄,已经是明显的价格战高风险市场。 26个新品里没有一个达到可持续盈利,6个新品牌全部失败;老品牌同样是8个新品全失败,说明不是“新手不行”,而是这个类目本身已经很难赚钱。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏向饱和和价格战。 近一年新品牌和新上架都在快速增加,但可验证的盈利几乎为零:新品牌新发布盈利率是0.00%,所有可识别的盈利产品占比也只有10.34%,而最新一批可追踪的新品牌样本里,18个新产品全部不盈利,说明进入门槛在变高,不是变低。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |