
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战+饱和市场。 新品牌的真实胜率是0%,全市场新产品盈利率只有8.33%,低于10%的高风险线;同时可盈利产品的利润区间只有0.55%~18.20%,大多数都挤在低利润带,说明你不是在做“增长市场”,而是在和成熟品牌拼极薄利润。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这不是一个适合进入的市场。 你预算 50万 CNY 表面上够做单个 ASIN 的前期启动,但这个类目已经明显价格战化、低利润化,而且新品牌几乎没有成功样本;对大品牌和小商家来说都不值得进。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显进入价格战和饱和区。 关键信号很清楚:整体可盈利产品只有12.31%,新上架产品可盈利率只有8.33%,低于10%的高风险线;而最近的新品牌几乎全军覆没,Elderoaki 7个新产品里0个盈利,说明新进入者正在被快速淘汰。
这个市场不值得进入:新产品里只有8.33%是盈利的,91.67%都在亏损,说明这是明显的价格战环境,而且新进入者几乎没有稳定胜率。对小卖家来说尤其不友好,因为真正能作为参考的“新卖家成功案例”几乎没有,唯一赚钱的新上架样本是 Azrra 的 B0FK9Y7F19,而且它靠的是旧链接延续+功能组合差异,不是纯白手起家型打法。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B082TQ42Y8 | Gear Beast | 2019-12-16 | Yes | $12.99 | 50pcs | $649.5 | 25.95% | $168.55 |
![]() | B085QGFVKL | Doormoon | 2020-03-24 | Yes | $11.82 | 50pcs | $591.0 | 23.41% | $138.36 |
![]() | B085QG5KKW | Doormoon | 2020-03-24 | Yes | $11.75 | 50pcs | $587.5 | 23.23% | $136.48 |
![]() | B0FK9Y7F19 | Azrra | 2025-07-29 | Yes | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | 16.56% | $115.84 |
![]() | B01KYCQDUO | Gear Beast | 2016-08-24 | Yes | $8.75 | 75pcs | $656.25 | 15.37% | $100.87 |
![]() | B0FH2DFJ9X | Hpmjz | 2025-07-08 | Yes | $7.99 | 100pcs | $799.0 | 11.08% | $88.53 |
![]() | B083158CBJ | SHANSHUI | 2019-12-22 | Yes | $7.99 | 100pcs | $799.0 | 10.16% | $81.18 |
![]() | B0D4QHWYYF | MoKo | 2024-05-21 | Yes | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 12.68% | $63.34 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FK9Y7F19 | Azrra | 2025-07-29 | Yes | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | 16.56% | $115.84 |
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,属于高竞争、偏价格战的成熟市场。 新品牌几乎没有真正跑出来的样本,成功主要集中在老品牌手里;对小商家来说,合规、低预算打法基本没有胜算,对大品牌来说即使有预算,也只是“能进”,不是“好进”。
证据很直接:新产品成功率只有 8.33%,低于 10% 的高风险线;新品牌样本里 7 个新上架产品全部亏损,成功率 0%。 全市场新产品里 11 个亏损、只有 1 个盈利;盈利的那个来自老品牌 MoKo 的 B0D4QHWYYF,售价 9.99 美元,毛利率 12.7%,月销 50 件,但它是旧款延续,不是新品牌真正的突破。失败端更典型:Elderoaki 的 B0G63HGMZ2、B0GQGSDGCK、B0GD6JSWT1、B0G63R914X 都是新产品且亏损,其中 B0G63HGMZ2 月亏 -83.67 美元、B0GQGSDGCK 月亏 -45.54 美元;Hpmjz 的 B0GZTMCMCV、B0G1WXT1HL 也都没跑起来。市场里老品牌占优很明显:MoKo、Gear Beast、Dutyway、SHANSHUI、Doormoon、Azrra 这些老牌都在吃到盈利样本,说明新进入者要面对的是既有品牌壁垒,不是空白市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合现在进入,结论是明显偏高风险,而且已经接近价格战区。 近期新品牌几乎没有真正跑出来,7个新品牌新品里盈利率是0%,而且近一年新增里几乎全是亏损或“其他”,说明竞争不是在变轻,而是在变难。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |