
这个市场不值得进入:已经明显进入价格战区,而且新品牌成功率只有20%,最近的新品里80%都不赚钱,市场不是在变好,而是在变难。对大品牌和小商家都不是好时点;小商家如果硬进,基本只能靠激进投放和高强度打法才有机会,但这仍然不是一个健康可复制的机会。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不值得进入:已经明显偏向价格战,且新品牌成功率低,用户虽然有50万CNY预算,但只能覆盖少数入场成本,远远不够支撑长期竞争。 结论很直接:大品牌和小企业都不适合现在切入,尤其小企业基本会被更高预算、更强品牌力的玩家挤压。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:已经接近价格战区,且新品牌胜率很低。 以核心同类产品看,市场里新入场品牌明显在增多,但大多数新产品利润率都压在10%以下,说明不是靠“做一款差不多的产品”就能活下来;你现在的 50万 CNY 预算虽然高于单个主推款的早期建议投入约 8,968.58 USD(约合6.5万 CNY),但这只覆盖前期起量,不足以抵消后续品牌、创新和长期投放成本。
这个市场不适合进入:新产品利润分布明显偏低,只有20%的产品达到可盈利标准,而新品牌新上架产品里约83.33%不赚钱,说明这里已经是高压竞争区,不是适合新手切入的市场。能跑出来的案例主要靠老品牌、重投入和强差异化;小商家若想进场,现实上很难在不采用激进打法的情况下站稳。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CM9ZDFT7 | PILLANI | 2024-01-29 | Yes | $20.09 | 800pcs | $16072.0 | 11.65% | $1872.39 |
![]() | B07X137W8H | KeaBabies | 2019-08-29 | Yes | $17.72 | 550pcs | $9746.0 | 18.9% | $1842.0 |
![]() | B0851H8C7W | KeaBabies | 2020-06-21 | Yes | $18.78 | 300pcs | $5634.0 | 25.14% | $1416.39 |
![]() | B0FBVT6J3K | COMOMY | 2025-10-12 | Yes | $46.21 | 100pcs | $4621.0 | 25.05% | $1157.57 |
![]() | B0GD7FJR8X | Kopi Baby | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $34.58 | 100pcs | $3458.0 | 16.22% | $560.89 |
![]() | B09D4LPTC8 | Natemia | 2021-08-19 | Yes | $32.0 | 50pcs | $1600.0 | 29.91% | $478.56 |
![]() | B0F2GJ3LP9 | Lily Miles | 2025-06-28 | Yes | $16.42 | 175pcs | $2873.5 | 12.6% | $362.07 |
![]() | B0GD7PYJL3 | Kopi Baby | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $33.99 | 50pcs | $1699.5 | 14.88% | $252.89 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FBVT6J3K | COMOMY | 2025-10-12 | Yes | $46.21 | 100pcs | $4621.0 | 25.05% | $1157.57 |
![]() | B0GD7FJR8X | Kopi Baby | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $34.58 | 100pcs | $3458.0 | 16.22% | $560.89 |
![]() | B0GD7PYJL3 | Kopi Baby | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $33.99 | 50pcs | $1699.5 | 14.88% | $252.89 |
这个市场不值得进入:新产品成功率只有20%,而且市场正在被老品牌和少数新品牌挤压,已经明显偏向高竞争、低容错。 从新品牌看,真正靠新品起量的只有Kopi Baby一家公司,2个新品盈利、3个亏损,成功率40%,但它的成功依赖“基于旧款迭代+功能差异化+外观差异化”,不是低成本复制就能做出来;更关键的是,市场里大部分新上架产品都没跑出来,且2026年后新发布项目几乎清一色亏损,说明后续进入环境在变差。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显进入高风险价格战区。 近期新品牌进入后,真正跑出来的只占少数;新发布产品整体盈利率只有20%,而新品牌新发布的盈利率同样只有20%,说明新人不是靠“低门槛试错”就能赢,反而更像被高投入和强营销筛选掉的市场。
从时间趋势看,市场不是在变好,而是在变难:2025年还有可见的成功样本,但到了2026年,新发布几乎被失败淹没,全年新发布里只有1个新产品盈利、12个新产品不盈利,盈利占比13.33%,不盈利占80.00%;按新品牌口径看,2个成功、10个失败,成功率16.67%,失败率83.33%。这已经不是“可优化”的普通竞争,而是成功越来越依赖老品牌或强营销打法的环境。典型案例里,COMOMY 的 B0FBVT6J3K 虽然盈利,利润率25.1%,但它是“旧品牌在旧链接上做新上架”,还带有黑帽式新发布特征,初始总投入约 8,968.58 美元,属于需要明显营销和操作能力的打法;Lily Miles 的两个新上架都亏损,说明老品牌也不是稳赢。新品牌里唯一真正亮眼的是 Kopi Baby:B0GD7FJR8X 和 B0GD7PYJL3 都盈利,利润率分别 16.22% 和 14.88%,但品牌整体只有 5 个产品,2 个盈利、3 个亏损,成功率 40%,并且它的成功更像靠“差异化外观+功能”撑起来,不是低预算轻松复制的模式。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |