
这个市场不值得进入,且已经是明显的价格战高风险市场。 近 21 个新上架里,新品牌新品成功率是 0%,所有可识别的新上架新品都没跑出可持续盈利;同时整体新品牌数量 14 个、老品牌 17 个,市场里没有看到健康的新进入窗口,反而是越新越难赚。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 预算 50万 CNY 表面上够做单个 ASIN 的前期启动,但市场已经进入明显价格战区:可识别盈利产品只占 4.17%,新上架产品盈利率是 0%,而新品牌新品成功率也是 0%。
证据很直接。新品牌 Youeon 的新 ASIN B0FR8MHHKR 以 $23.99 上架,当前只做到 7.08% 利润率,月销 100、月流水 $239,900,但利润仍没过 10% 的门槛,说明“能卖”不等于“能赚”;另一个新品牌 zisiueel 的 B0FS1SVZJZ 直接是 -18.34% 利润率,且几乎没有有效销量。老品牌 TRU RED 的 B088WJ8CFD 也是 -35.2% 利润率,月销 300、月流水 $480,000,说明连有规模和品牌力的老牌也被压进亏损区。更关键的是,市场里新品牌新品盈利率 0%、新品牌新品非盈利率 100%,这不是正常竞争,是高度饱和且明显内卷的信号;同时筛样里还能看到老品牌旧产品 B0DKJFZX88 虽然盈利,但靠的是旧品牌资源与差异化功能,不是小商家可复制的入场模板。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合现在进入:新品牌大量涌入,但新上架产品盈利率只有0%,整体可盈利产品仅4.17%,已经是明显的价格战/高风险市场。 对大品牌来说,只有具备更强供应链、品牌和更高预算才能勉强切入;对小品牌来说,几乎没有健康的成功样本,贸然进入大概率亏损。
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显进入价格战/过度拥挤状态。 新品牌进入后几乎没有成功样本:新品牌新上架产品盈利率为0%,而新品牌新上架产品未盈利率达到100%;同时,已知新品利润率里,低于10%的占比很高,说明新进入者大多被压到很薄甚至亏损。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DKJFZX88 | DOHWSK | 2024-10-22 | Yes | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | 16.73% | $250.87 |
![]() | B0CLGXBTNM | Suzile | 2023-10-20 | Yes | $15.35 | 100pcs | $1535.0 | 12.62% | $193.72 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FWJ5DZWH | LIGHT DUST | 2025-11-26 | No | $21.74 | 100pcs | $2174.0 | -5.56% | $-120.87 |
![]() | B0GKYRB2FZ | Generic | 2026-02-01 | No | $24.58 | 50pcs | $1229.0 | -8.0% | $-98.32 |
![]() | B0FR8MHHKR | Youeon | 2025-09-16 | No | $23.99 | 100pcs | $2399.0 | 7.08% | $169.85 |
![]() | B0FS1SVZJZ | zisiueel | 2025-09-22 | No | $21.68 | -pcs | $- | -18.34% | $- |
![]() | B0G3TJ88FX | Kalekey | 2025-11-25 | No | $29.99 | -pcs | $- | 10.64% | $- |
![]() | B0H3P2WJJZ | PINXIURY | 2026-06-02 | No | $27.99 | -pcs | $- | -0.24% | $- |
![]() | B0GJDLDWDW | Oqqlin | 2026-01-23 | No | $19.0 | -pcs | $- | -28.82% | $- |
![]() | B0GHRBF8NH | VANEME | 2026-03-07 | No | $24.59 | -pcs | $- | -17.62% | $- |
![]() | B0GVMZRSCK | MAZXRKVT | 2026-04-01 | No | $20.5 | -pcs | $- | -22.55% | $- |
![]() | B0FYCPLBLL | Duimbok | 2025-10-30 | No | $24.08 | -pcs | $- | -21.04% | $- |
![]() | B0FLWCMMB9 | AojSup | 2025-08-10 | No | $22.72 | -pcs | $- | -17.37% | $- |
![]() | B0G5NMB2XN | DOHWSK | 2025-12-08 | No | $29.99 | -pcs | $- | 15.84% | $- |
![]() | B0H33CBL8R | JEXLQTVR | 2026-05-27 | No | $20.99 | -pcs | $- | -13.06% | $- |
![]() | B0H3VGGC9G | Qevylentte | 2026-06-03 | No | $19.9 | -pcs | $- | -6.08% | $- |
![]() | B0GS6L1CTH | ZAYHENYOO | 2026-03-26 | No | $44.99 | -pcs | $- | 10.49% | $- |
![]() | B0G4M6NGVL | LIGHT DUST | 2025-11-26 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GY3BK65P | ZQDQIUQIU | 2026-04-22 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FKS3RN83 | MyGift | 2025-08-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GSW7MB3T | Sliner | 2026-03-17 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GG3MRRVR | ZAYHENYOO | 2026-01-10 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不适合进入:新品成功率为0%,新品牌新品成功率也为0%,而且已有品牌和新品牌的新上架几乎全部失败,典型价格战/高度拥挤市场。 这不是“还能试试”的市场,而是已经被同质化收割的市场,继续进入对大品牌和小商家都不友好。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,已经是明显的高风险价格战市场。 近一年新品牌进入后几乎全部失败:新品牌新上架成功率是0%,整体可识别盈利产品只占4.17%,而最近一年新增的21个新品里没有一个达到“可持续盈利+活跃销量”的标准,说明现在不是“机会市场”,而是“淘汰市场”。
过去一年的数据也在恶化:2025年还勉强有少量成功案例,但2026年新上架几乎清一色失败,最新月度里持续出现新品牌失败,说明竞争是越来越难,不是越来越容易。品牌分布上,14个新品牌对抗17个老品牌,且新品牌失败样本里75%集中在Other,说明不是少数强手在赢,而是大量新入局者一起被卷死;像 ZAYHENYOO 的 B0GS6L1CTH,28条评价、44.99美元、利润率10.5%,却仍然是非盈利且无活跃销量,属于“看起来有评价、实际撑不住”的典型样本。再看失败品牌,LIGHT DUST、ZAYHENYOO 各占12.5%的新品牌失败样本,且 B0GS6L1CTH、B0FWJ5DZWH 等都落在非盈利区,说明当前市场已经进入“低利润+低转化”的挤压状态;你给的资金是500000 CNY,表面上够做单个ASIN,但在这个市场里,预算并不能解决研发、品牌和认证的长期成本,单靠这点钱去打新品牌,成功概率非常低。
结论很直接:不要进。 对大品牌来说,这里也不是好市场;对小品牌来说更不成立,因为真正的“小品牌成功案例”几乎没有,反而更像是需要重营销甚至带有“predatory competitors”特征才能活下来的环境。建议你直接放弃这个类目,除非你能拿出明显差异化、强品牌和更高长期预算,否则不值得推进。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |