
这个市场不适合进入:已经明显过度拥挤,而且利润被压进价格战区。 现在的新品牌新品成功率是0%,整体新上架产品成功率也是0%,新品牌共有8个、近期新发布产品51个,但没有任何一个新产品达到可接受的盈利状态,说明这不是“还有机会”,而是“几乎没有可复制的盈利入口”。
证据很直接:最近一批产品的利润区间只有 -5.70% 到 5.92%,全年看 2025 年新上架产品里,-10% 到 0% 和 0% 到 10% 的低利润段占了主流,2026 年新增样本里大部分仍然落在亏钱或极薄利润区间。 这意味着市场已经进入持续压价阶段,不是靠常规选品和正常投放就能赚钱的环境;如果要硬进,必须接受更激进的营销、更高投入和更强产品差异化,但即便如此也没有看到稳定成功案例。小商家方面,真正能参考的健康案例几乎没有;像 ZQUYAJ 的 B0FMXCN9XT 虽然约300条评价、但利润率只有0.46%,不算可复制的成功样板。相反,SUNALLY、SWTYMIKI、Goovilla 这类新品牌持续推新却全部非盈利,其中 SUNALLY 有13个非盈利新品,Goovilla有8个,属于典型的“堆量抢位但赚不到钱”。
结论很明确:别进。 这个类目对大品牌和小商家都不友好,市场已经是明显的价格战和过度拥挤状态;如果硬要做,必须靠强差异化、强预算和更激进的打法,但这不应被视为一个高概率成功市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不适合进入:已进入严重价格战且明显过度拥挤,500,000 CNY 只能覆盖一小部分入场成本,连长期投入都不够。 你要找的是能稳定赚钱的切入点,但这里新产品整体盈利率是 0.00%,新上架产品盈利率也是 0.00%,而且高利润难度被判定为“高”,核心原因不是稀缺机会,而是同质化严重、竞争太硬。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这不是一个适合进入的市场:已经明显过度拥挤,而且利润被压到价格战区。 你会看到大量新品牌集中涌入,但新品牌新上架的盈利率是0%,市场里可识别利润产品比例也是0%,这意味着无论大品牌还是小商家,想靠常规打法切进去都很难赚钱。
这个市场不值得进入,结论很直接:已进入价格战/过饱和区,单品成功率极低。 现在看到的新品牌新产品里,盈利率是0%,新上架产品的盈利率也是0%,而新产品的利润区间只有-5.70%到5.92%,这说明不是“还有空间”,而是连正常利润都被挤没了。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FX4VRLY1 | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.87 | 1000pcs | $24870.0 | -4.04% | $-1004.74 |
![]() | B0FX4W25QK | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.2 | 500pcs | $12100.0 | -6.6% | $-798.6 |
![]() | B0D9BJMDLF | JKsmart | 2024-10-27 | No | $46.48 | 200pcs | $9296.0 | -8.43% | $-783.65 |
![]() | B0FX884F3D | Goovilla | 2025-10-22 | No | $24.78 | 600pcs | $14868.0 | -4.57% | $-679.46 |
![]() | B0DRFFV445 | HapiRm | 2025-04-10 | No | $49.99 | 100pcs | $4999.0 | -12.58% | $-628.87 |
![]() | B0DRFCSKTR | HapiRm | 2025-04-10 | No | $45.99 | 100pcs | $4599.0 | -9.42% | $-433.22 |
![]() | B0F2J5MX2K | Jakyitvi | 2025-05-28 | No | $46.63 | 100pcs | $4663.0 | -7.42% | $-345.99 |
![]() | B0FVS9K3G1 | Homde | 2025-10-11 | No | $47.47 | 50pcs | $2373.5 | -8.27% | $-196.28 |
![]() | B0FX4RFXYF | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.29 | 100pcs | $2429.0 | -6.35% | $-154.24 |
![]() | B0GY43K6Y6 | Goovilla | 2026-04-22 | No | $48.65 | 200pcs | $9730.0 | -1.42% | $-138.16 |
![]() | B0FX4V1NK4 | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.89 | 100pcs | $2489.0 | -5.45% | $-135.65 |
![]() | B0FR9LT97J | SWTYMIKI | 2025-11-10 | No | $45.99 | 50pcs | $2299.5 | -5.37% | $-123.48 |
![]() | B0GQYWWYGL | HapiRm | 2026-05-08 | No | $49.99 | 100pcs | $4999.0 | -0.76% | $-37.99 |
![]() | B0F3JDGNSL | Jakyitvi | 2025-06-17 | No | $54.8 | 50pcs | $2740.0 | -1.21% | $-33.15 |
![]() | B0GD5JCJPJ | SUNALLY | 2025-12-30 | No | $25.9 | 50pcs | $1295.0 | -2.43% | $-31.46 |
![]() | B0H2LX2928 | SEFILENCE | 2026-01-20 | No | $59.99 | 50pcs | $2999.5 | -0.75% | $-22.49 |
![]() | B0GY7NFVKH | SUNALLY | 2026-04-23 | No | $55.11 | 200pcs | $11022.0 | 0.45% | $49.6 |
![]() | B0FMXCN9XT | ZQUYAJ | 2025-08-19 | No | $40.04 | 300pcs | $12012.0 | 0.46% | $55.26 |
![]() | B0FRMSR47X | SWTYMIKI | 2025-11-10 | No | $52.99 | 50pcs | $2649.5 | 2.14% | $56.7 |
![]() | B0FX88L37C | Goovilla | 2025-10-22 | No | $27.09 | 500pcs | $13545.0 | 0.5% | $67.73 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FX4VRLY1 | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.87 | 1000pcs | $24870.0 | -4.04% | $-1004.74 |
![]() | B0FX4W25QK | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.2 | 500pcs | $12100.0 | -6.6% | $-798.6 |
![]() | B0FX884F3D | Goovilla | 2025-10-22 | No | $24.78 | 600pcs | $14868.0 | -4.57% | $-679.46 |
![]() | B0FVS9K3G1 | Homde | 2025-10-11 | No | $47.47 | 50pcs | $2373.5 | -8.27% | $-196.28 |
![]() | B0FX4RFXYF | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.29 | 100pcs | $2429.0 | -6.35% | $-154.24 |
![]() | B0GY43K6Y6 | Goovilla | 2026-04-22 | No | $48.65 | 200pcs | $9730.0 | -1.42% | $-138.16 |
![]() | B0FX4V1NK4 | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $24.89 | 100pcs | $2489.0 | -5.45% | $-135.65 |
![]() | B0FR9LT97J | SWTYMIKI | 2025-11-10 | No | $45.99 | 50pcs | $2299.5 | -5.37% | $-123.48 |
![]() | B0GQYWWYGL | HapiRm | 2026-05-08 | No | $49.99 | 100pcs | $4999.0 | -0.76% | $-37.99 |
![]() | B0GD5JCJPJ | SUNALLY | 2025-12-30 | No | $25.9 | 50pcs | $1295.0 | -2.43% | $-31.46 |
![]() | B0H2LX2928 | SEFILENCE | 2026-01-20 | No | $59.99 | 50pcs | $2999.5 | -0.75% | $-22.49 |
![]() | B0GY7NFVKH | SUNALLY | 2026-04-23 | No | $55.11 | 200pcs | $11022.0 | 0.45% | $49.6 |
![]() | B0FMXCN9XT | ZQUYAJ | 2025-08-19 | No | $40.04 | 300pcs | $12012.0 | 0.46% | $55.26 |
![]() | B0FRMSR47X | SWTYMIKI | 2025-11-10 | No | $52.99 | 50pcs | $2649.5 | 2.14% | $56.7 |
![]() | B0FX88L37C | Goovilla | 2025-10-22 | No | $27.09 | 500pcs | $13545.0 | 0.5% | $67.73 |
![]() | B0FX4X1VLZ | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $33.53 | 100pcs | $3353.0 | 3.94% | $132.11 |
![]() | B0GD65PVH5 | SUNALLY | 2025-12-30 | No | $33.9 | 100pcs | $3390.0 | 4.22% | $143.06 |
![]() | B0GZNBJTH6 | Goovilla | 2026-05-06 | No | $31.92 | 550pcs | $17556.0 | 0.84% | $147.48 |
![]() | B0FX4RLRRW | SUNALLY | 2025-10-21 | No | $33.54 | 100pcs | $3354.0 | 4.58% | $153.62 |
![]() | B0FMXP5W4C | SWTYMIKI | 2025-10-25 | No | $49.99 | 50pcs | $2499.5 | 8.34% | $208.46 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏向价格战和过度拥挤。 新产品里可识别的盈利项几乎为零:全市场新产品成功率为0%,新品牌新产品成功率也为0%,而新品牌失败的产品里,SUNALLY 占 28.89%、SWTYMIKI 占 26.67%、Goovilla 占 17.78%,说明失败不是分散的试错,而是少数品牌持续堆量、持续亏损在抢位。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场已经过热,且现在不适合进入。 2025-2026 年新品牌持续涌入,但新上架产品的盈利结果几乎全军覆没,最近一批新品牌不是在亏钱,就是靠很薄的利润硬撑,典型的价格战市场。
证据很直接:市场里共有 8 个新品牌、5 个老品牌,近期新增新产品 51 个,但新品牌新品盈利率是 0%,新发布产品整体盈利率也是 0%。 近几个月的新增主要集中在 2025/10 到 2026/6,几乎每个月都有新品牌进场,但月度利润表现大多落在 -10% 到 0% 或 0% 到 10% 区间;而市场新发布产品的利润范围只有 -5.70% 到 5.92%,说明现在不是“还能赚一点”的环境,而是被成本和竞争压到几乎没有空间。更关键的是,45 个新品牌新品样本里,100% 都是非盈利,已经不是机会稀缺,而是失败高发。
对两类卖家都不友好:大品牌可以看 HapiRm 这种老品牌,但它的新推品也在亏,说明即使有品牌基础也很难跑出来;小商家可参考的真成功案例几乎没有,只有 ZQUYAJ 的 B0FMXCN9XT 还算勉强站住,但它也只有约 300 reviews、利润率仅 0.46%,并不构成健康样板。 反而像 SUNALLY(13 个非盈利产品)、SWTYMIKI(12 个非盈利产品)、Goovilla(8 个非盈利产品)这类新品牌,销量看起来不差,但利润普遍在 -6% 到 5% 左右,属于靠流量和投入硬冲、并不是真正可复制的盈利模型;其中 SUNALLY 的多个新品单款月销能到 500-1000 件,但利润仍是 -3% 到 -6%,这说明这个类目已经进入高强度价格战,若要硬进,极可能需要更激进的营销和更高预算,不是 50 万人民币能稳定解决的。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |