
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是低利润、强竞争的价格战区。 目前只看到2个新品牌、3个新上架产品,但新品牌成功率是0%,新上架产品盈利率也是0%;而且现有可见的“在卖”样本 B0GK7H4MQN 只有 6.94% 利润率,已经低于可接受线,说明不是单纯预算问题,而是进场后很难赚到钱。
证据很直接:
新品牌只有 Nieifi 和 Haryaers,两家都没有跑出真实盈利案例;3个新上架产品里,盈利 0、亏损 3,成功率 0.00%。这不是小样本里偶然失手,而是全样本清一色失败。
价格竞争已经很重:B0GK7H4MQN 的利润率只有 6.94%,属于一碰就容易被物流、广告和退货吃掉的档位;B0FQ4YLPS5 虽然账面上看有 14.82% 的空间,但实际仍然没跑成盈利。整体看不到“多数产品利润率≥15%”的健康信号。
品牌层面也不支持入场:Nieifi 这条新品牌线只有 1 个产品,且不盈利;Haryaers 有 2 个新产品,也全部不盈利。说明新品牌即使进来了,也没形成可复制的赚钱模型。市场里没有老牌垄断大户,但这不是利好,而是更像一片大家都在卷、但谁都没赚到钱的红海。
失败原因很一致:两个核心样本都指向“缺乏差异化 + 小市场/强竞争”。像免打孔不锈钢浴室收纳架、可伸缩张力杆这类产品,外观和功能都很通用,用户很容易比价,难做出利润护城河。
大品牌:不建议进。 500000 CNY 看起来够做单品前期铺货,但这里的问题不是钱不够,而是即使重投也没有看到能稳定盈利的样本。若硬进,只能靠更强投放、更重品牌包装去抢量,投入大但回报不确定。
小商家:更不建议进。 这里没有可验证的真实成功案例;也没有“<300 reviews 且能稳定赚钱”的小商家样本。若非要进,基本只能走高强度营销和低价硬推,这种打法风险很高,不适合普通卖家。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论:这个市场不值得进入,当前是明显的过度拥挤/价格战市场。 用户预算 50万CNY 只能覆盖少数单品的前期上架成本,但市场里可识别盈利产品占比为 0%,新上架产品盈利率也为 0%,说明不是“钱不够”,而是“进场后很难赚钱”。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,且已接近价格战/超饱和状态:当前样本里新品牌几乎没有盈利,整体可盈利比例为0%,新上架产品可盈利比例也为0%;从时间趋势看,2025到2026持续有新产品进入,但新增几乎全部是亏损单,说明不是增长红利,而是越卷越差。对大品牌和小商家都不友好,尤其小商家若想进场,基本只能靠高预算和高强度投放硬推,仍然不稳。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是高风险的价格战市场。 新品牌进入样本里,3个新发布产品里盈利率是0%,而且两个新品牌 Nieifi、Haryaers 都没有跑出可验证的盈利案例;当前看到的唯一“在卖”案例 B0GK7H4MQN 也只有 6.94% 利润率,低于你要求的可接受线,属于一碰就容易亏的档位。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GK7H4MQN | Haryaers | 2026-03-15 | No | $24.99 | 100pcs | $2499.0 | 6.94% | $173.44 |
![]() | B0FQ4YLPS5 | Nieifi | 2025-09-08 | No | $23.99 | -pcs | $- | 14.82% | $- |
![]() | B0GK7G5QR3 | Haryaers | 2026-03-15 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0GK7H4MQN | Haryaers | 2026-03-15 | No | $24.99 | 100pcs | $2499.0 | 6.94% | $173.44 |
![]() | B0FQ4YLPS5 | Nieifi | 2025-09-08 | No | $23.99 | -pcs | $- | 14.82% | $- |
![]() | B0GK7G5QR3 | Haryaers | 2026-03-15 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不适合进入:当前样本里新上架产品利润率几乎为零,且新品牌没有任何真实成功案例,呈现出明显的价格战和高竞争状态。对大品牌和小品牌都不是好机会,继续做只会更像在红海里硬拼。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已经进入价格战/低利润区,而且新品牌几乎没有成功样本。 近两年新增品牌的结果是“能活下来但很难赚钱”,对大品牌和小商家都不是好市场;如果现在进场,基本只能靠更重的投放和更高的品牌成本硬顶。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |