
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入。 不是因为完全没利润,而是因为新品牌成功面太窄、老品牌主导明显,后进者越来越难做;对大品牌和小商家来说,都不是一个健康的切入点。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,对大品牌和小商家都不是好机会。虽然看起来有少数新品能赚钱,但新品牌新发布盈利率只有66.67%,新品牌新发布亏损率也有33.33%,而且市场里真正能称得上小商家成功案例的,只有少数低评论、低体量产品,整体更像是被老牌和高资源玩家主导的竞争场。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入:已出现明显过度拥挤和价格战信号,既不适合小品牌,也不适合大品牌直接冲进去。 新品牌里能盈利的只占66.67%,但亏损新品牌也有33.33%;更关键的是,市场里老品牌新上架产品的盈利率只有17.14%,而老品牌新上架非盈利率高达65.71%,说明这个赛道里“新上架”并不等于容易赚钱,竞争已经很挤。样本里还能看到多个高销量但利润并不差的老牌强势款,说明头部资源和持续投放门槛很高。
大品牌可参考的标杆是 ryuwanku 的 B09DX9SD8B 和 B0B6SZ3TWR。 这两个老品牌爆款都在27.89~32.49美元价位,月销分别约3000和5000,利润率17.14%和22.04%,说明大品牌要进来必须同时做到稳定投放、成熟供应链和持续流量控制;而且 ryuwanku 整体4个可识别产品里3个盈利、总月收入约23,289.7美元,说明这是“强运营+老品牌”打法,不是低预算新手打法。对大品牌来说,能抄的是中端价位、标准化外观、双把手/瀑布式浴室龙头这类成熟设计,但不要以为靠复制就能赢,因为这个市场本身已经非常拥挤。
小品牌唯一像样的成功案例是 Homevacious 的 B0FP5D5DYB。 这款是新品牌新上架,售价42.43美元,利润率24.0%,月销500,最近月利润约5083.12美元,前三个月平均销量116件,早期投入约13801.44美元,其中广告约3102.56美元;同品牌还有 B0FP5CB2CT、B0FP5GDBTW、B0G2LC91S8、B0G2LD3WLY、B0FYN6RNZB 等共6个可盈利新款,说明它靠的是同一风格、同一子类里的轻度变体铺货,而不是单点硬冲。但要注意,另一个新品牌 SREEZNX 直接失败:B0FRRFMGVB 只有40单却卖56.43美元,B0GTDW1ZLN 也完全没起量,新品牌新上架非盈利率33.33%,说明小品牌在这里如果没有明确差异化和强推广,很容易沦为亏损样本;这类市场不需要“试试看”,需要你有足够预算去打广告和做品牌,否则别进。
这个市场不适合现在进入,尤其不是低预算小品牌的好机会:新品牌新发产品盈利率只有27.27%,但市场整体可识别盈利率也只有42.36%,而且2025年后新发里非盈利明显增多,已经进入高竞争、偏价格战的状态。 真正能跑出来的,基本是老品牌或带强品牌力的新产品;小品牌如果没有明显差异化和更高预算,很难靠正常打法赢。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B09654KMWZ | ryuwanku | 2021-05-29 | Yes | $27.89 | 5000pcs | $139450.0 | 17.41% | $24278.25 |
![]() | B09DX9SD8B | ryuwanku | 2021-08-29 | Yes | $27.9 | 3000pcs | $83700.0 | 17.14% | $14346.18 |
![]() | B0FKH7HCHV | FORIOUS | 2025-09-22 | Yes | $62.62 | 500pcs | $31310.0 | 34.95% | $10942.85 |
![]() | B0F2YXJT2R | gotonovo | 2025-03-29 | Yes | $58.64 | 500pcs | $29320.0 | 30.9% | $9059.88 |
![]() | B0F7Q775VG | KENES | 2025-05-07 | Yes | $75.29 | 300pcs | $22587.0 | 37.63% | $8499.49 |
![]() | B0FJBCT593 | FORIOUS | 2025-09-04 | Yes | $66.57 | 300pcs | $19971.0 | 32.43% | $6476.6 |
![]() | B0D41MSSP6 | Ultimate Unicorn | 2024-03-01 | Yes | $67.83 | 300pcs | $20349.0 | 28.7% | $5840.17 |
![]() | B0D53XM5ZV | FORIOUS | 2024-05-24 | Yes | $50.06 | 400pcs | $20024.0 | 29.01% | $5808.97 |
![]() | B0BXKCSWJP | Ultimate Unicorn | 2023-05-31 | Yes | $60.91 | 300pcs | $18273.0 | 31.56% | $5766.96 |
![]() | B0CT5NH1J9 | Ultimate Unicorn | 2024-02-29 | Yes | $62.69 | 300pcs | $18807.0 | 29.69% | $5583.8 |
![]() | B0D41MJWLH | Ultimate Unicorn | 2024-02-29 | Yes | $65.42 | 300pcs | $19626.0 | 27.62% | $5420.71 |
![]() | B0DL5K2LRC | GBBNE | 2024-10-28 | Yes | $46.41 | 400pcs | $18564.0 | 29.04% | $5390.99 |
![]() | B0BWXZ9NDQ | Casavilla | 2023-02-27 | Yes | $45.99 | 500pcs | $22995.0 | 23.25% | $5346.34 |
![]() | B0FRZZBRYZ | KENES | 2025-09-22 | Yes | $65.15 | 250pcs | $16287.5 | 32.07% | $5223.41 |
![]() | B0FP5D5DYB | Homevacious | 2025-10-07 | Yes | $42.43 | 500pcs | $21215.0 | 23.96% | $5083.12 |
![]() | B0FP5CB2CT | Homevacious | 2025-10-07 | Yes | $42.24 | 500pcs | $21120.0 | 24.02% | $5073.03 |
![]() | B0D2CY2X26 | GBBNE | 2024-04-22 | Yes | $39.66 | 500pcs | $19830.0 | 25.34% | $5024.93 |
![]() | B0FP5GDBTW | Homevacious | 2025-10-07 | Yes | $40.51 | 500pcs | $20255.0 | 22.73% | $4603.97 |
![]() | B0BXKC1KQW | Ultimate Unicorn | 2023-05-31 | Yes | $63.43 | 300pcs | $19029.0 | 23.98% | $4563.16 |
![]() | B0F43YR487 | FORIOUS | 2025-04-08 | Yes | $50.24 | 250pcs | $12560.0 | 27.71% | $3480.38 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FKH7HCHV | FORIOUS | 2025-09-22 | Yes | $62.62 | 500pcs | $31310.0 | 34.95% | $10942.85 |
![]() | B0FJBCT593 | FORIOUS | 2025-09-04 | Yes | $66.57 | 300pcs | $19971.0 | 32.43% | $6476.6 |
![]() | B0FRZZBRYZ | KENES | 2025-09-22 | Yes | $65.15 | 250pcs | $16287.5 | 32.07% | $5223.41 |
![]() | B0FP5D5DYB | Homevacious | 2025-10-07 | Yes | $42.43 | 500pcs | $21215.0 | 23.96% | $5083.12 |
![]() | B0FP5CB2CT | Homevacious | 2025-10-07 | Yes | $42.24 | 500pcs | $21120.0 | 24.02% | $5073.03 |
![]() | B0FP5GDBTW | Homevacious | 2025-10-07 | Yes | $40.51 | 500pcs | $20255.0 | 22.73% | $4603.97 |
![]() | B0FKH8NDB3 | FORIOUS | 2025-10-05 | Yes | $63.54 | 100pcs | $6354.0 | 35.22% | $2237.88 |
![]() | B0FX46J94V | FORIOUS | 2025-10-21 | Yes | $47.93 | 100pcs | $4793.0 | 31.81% | $1524.66 |
![]() | B0G2LC91S8 | Homevacious | 2026-01-10 | Yes | $41.81 | 100pcs | $4181.0 | 24.71% | $1033.13 |
![]() | B0G2LD3WLY | Homevacious | 2025-12-24 | Yes | $41.0 | 100pcs | $4100.0 | 23.86% | $978.26 |
![]() | B0FNQ81JBD | FDKW | 2025-08-26 | Yes | $33.5 | 100pcs | $3350.0 | 22.39% | $750.07 |
![]() | B0FYN6RNZB | Homevacious | 2025-12-29 | Yes | $41.64 | 50pcs | $2082.0 | 24.6% | $512.18 |
结论很明确:这个市场不适合现在进入。 新品成功率只有27.27%,但真正能站稳的产品大多是老品牌或带强品牌/强运营打法的新品牌;而且2025-2026年新品发布明显集中、失败数量持续高于成功,市场正在走向高压竞争,不是适合普通新手切入的赛道。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显走向过度拥挤和价格战。 近一年新品牌新产品盈利率只有27.27%,而最近一年的新发布里 17 个不盈利、10 个盈利,2026 年到目前更是只见到 1 个盈利、6 个不盈利;这说明后进者越来越难做,市场不是在变好,而是在变硬。
证据很直接:时间趋势上,2025 年新品牌发布明显集中爆发,2026 年虽然新发布数量还在出现,但盈利面快速收窄;利润时间表里,2025 年新发布能落在 20%~30% 利润段的只有 6 个,到了 2026 年只剩 1 个,而且没有看到高利润的持续扩张。市场整体可识别的盈利产品占 42.36%,但新发布产品只有 27.27% 能盈利,说明新切入比存量产品更难。更关键的是,真正的新品牌成功几乎被 Homevacious 独占:它 6 个新产品全部盈利,单个可成功产品预算约 4,117.94 到 17,617.00 CNY,且样本里它的 3 个核心爆款都只有 260 条左右评价,属于正常商业放量;但 SREEZNX 两个新产品全亏,说明不是所有新品牌都能复制。老品牌方面,KENES、FORIOUS、FDKW、LUFG、gotonovo 这些旧品牌在新发布中占了主要位置,很多失败款都落在“外观太普通、功能同质化、利润低”的路线;同时像 B0FRRFMGVB 这类 40 条评价就冲到高曝光的产品,存在明显的激进投放/异常评价依赖风险,属于要警惕的“掠夺型竞争者”,不是小商家可模仿的正常样本。
结论:不要进。 如果你是大品牌,虽然 500,000 CNY 预算足以覆盖单个 ASIN 的启动,但这个市场仍然需要持续砸设计、投放和品牌成本;如果你是小商家,只有像 Homevacious 这种基于旧款做明确差异化、且能把单款预算压在约 4k~17.6k CNY 的路径才有机会,但现在成功率太低、失败样本更多,不值得下场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |