
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战市场,不管大品牌还是小商家,现在都没有高胜算。 新品牌进来9个、近25个新上架里新品牌新产品盈利率是0%,而整体新上架盈利率也是0%,说明这里不是成长机会,而是淘汰赛。
证据很硬:新发布产品的利润区间从 -17.54% 到 11.18%,市场利润难度被判定为高,且最新上架更偏低利润,说明竞争在加剧而不是变好;从时间看,2025年还有少量可赚产品,但到2026年几乎全部新上架都没跑通。品牌上看,真正能赚钱的还是老牌玩家:Josmimic 的 B0F1YNJJ5G、B0F1YPNZ47、B0FHVMG6G2 分别做到 18.4%、18.38%、16.35% 利润率,单个ASIN月销约 400件、月营收约 55.44K~56.84K USD,而它们的评论都在 303~307,属于成熟品牌打法;MOOCA 的 B07S5KQLT3 也能赚钱,说明“会做差异化的老牌”还能拿走利润。反过来,新品牌样本里 AOFLLU 有 3 个新产品全亏,B0GFMRW9CC 只有 0.62% 利润,B0GFMQPMKS 是 -1.84%,Gtziqa 的 B0GMHJ3Q1D 是 -10.41%,评论只有 3条,这类不是小商家成功案例;而且像 303、307 这种评论量的ASIN,已经接近“靠强投放和评论压力”在打,不能当小商家模板。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:不建议进入,这个市场对大多数卖家都是高风险,而且已经明显偏向价格战。 用户预算 50万人民币,表面上足够覆盖单个ASIN前期入场,但这类钱只能撑起前几个月的备货、运费和投放,根本不够长期打品牌和补研发;更关键的是,市场里新品牌大量涌入,但真正能跑通利润的非常少。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不建议进入,已经明显偏向价格战且新品牌几乎没有成功空间。核心信号很直接:市场里可识别利润的产品只有5.96%能赚钱,而新发布产品的盈利率是0%,同时新品牌新上架产品全是非盈利;这不是机会市场,是高风险淘汰市场。
证据上,老品牌还能靠品牌力和产品微创新吃到利润,但那不是小商家能复制的路径。比如 Josmimic 的 B0F1YNJJ5G、B0F1YPNZ47、B0FHVMG6G2 都能做到 16.35%~18.4% 利润率,单个 ASIN 月销 400、月营收约 55.44K~56.84K USD,评论数 303~307,明显是成熟品牌的打法;MOOCA 的 B07S5KQLT3 也靠“旧款基础上做功能+外观差异”赚钱。反过来,真正的新品牌 AOFLLU 和 Gtziqa 都没跑通:AOFLLU 两个主推新 ASIN B0GFMRW9CC / B0GFMQPMKS 只有 0.62% 和 -1.84% 利润率,AOFLLU 品牌内盈利率 0%;Gtziqa 的 B0GMHJ3Q1D 直接是 -10.41%,且只有 3 条评论。更关键的是,这个品类里旧品牌占新上架产品的比例高达 44%,说明新机会大部分被老玩家拿走了,新品牌进来基本是陪跑。
如果一定要看标杆,只能学老品牌里“有明确差异化”的产品:Josmimic 的 B0FHVMG6G2 / B0F1YNJJ5G 值得抄的是白色极简、金属架+陶瓷托盘、一体化收纳盘设计;MOOCA 的 B07S5KQLT3 值得抄的是木质展示感和可调高度结构。但对小商家来说,这些案例不是可复制的低成本成功样本,因为它们都带着品牌势能和成熟销量。结论很硬:大品牌也不该轻易进,小商家更不该进;除非你能做出明显产品创新并接受较高投放和品牌成本,否则不要入场。
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显是高风险价格战市场。 新品利润分布里,能明确看到新产品里只有少数做到10%~20%,而0%~10%和负利润占了大头;更关键的是,近两年的新发布几乎全部是亏损或利润极低,说明不是“有机会的成长市场”,而是“越做越卷”的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0F1YNJJ5G | Josmimic | 2025-03-19 | Yes | $14.21 | 400pcs | $5684.0 | 18.4% | $1045.86 |
![]() | B0F1YPNZ47 | Josmimic | 2025-03-19 | Yes | $14.16 | 400pcs | $5664.0 | 18.38% | $1041.05 |
![]() | B0FHVMG6G2 | Josmimic | 2025-07-17 | Yes | $13.86 | 400pcs | $5544.0 | 16.35% | $906.45 |
![]() | B0D9Q276Q1 | Julysky | 2024-04-08 | Yes | $12.99 | 400pcs | $5196.0 | 15.35% | $797.59 |
![]() | B07S5KQLT3 | MOOCA | 2019-05-23 | Yes | $14.99 | 400pcs | $5996.0 | 10.14% | $608.0 |
![]() | B0CT2CBTNJ | lengnoyp | 2024-01-23 | Yes | $9.91 | 300pcs | $2973.0 | 13.42% | $398.98 |
![]() | B0DFFXTTBK | Ausalivan | 2024-04-08 | Yes | $12.99 | 100pcs | $1299.0 | 13.2% | $171.47 |
![]() | B0F9NMHXPK | Pangkeep | 2025-05-23 | Yes | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | 19.56% | $136.83 |
![]() | B0FDXNZJ1J | NiHome | 2025-06-20 | Yes | $11.96 | 50pcs | $598.0 | 17.06% | $102.02 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FN7P9CTG | TENINYU | 2025-08-21 | No | $8.74 | 500pcs | $4370.0 | -30.38% | $-1327.6 |
![]() | B0FN7RYSF7 | TENINYU | 2025-08-21 | No | $8.69 | 400pcs | $3476.0 | -24.18% | $-840.49 |
![]() | B0FN7PZ6S5 | TENINYU | 2025-08-21 | No | $8.73 | 400pcs | $3492.0 | -23.64% | $-825.5 |
![]() | B0FRZJ5DHG | Jasopaco | 2025-09-21 | No | $9.72 | 100pcs | $972.0 | -8.4% | $-81.64 |
![]() | B0GJ32BZGM | Lolalet | 2026-05-26 | No | $11.62 | 50pcs | $581.0 | 2.81% | $16.33 |
![]() | B0GFMRW9CC | AOFLLU | 2026-03-26 | No | $9.96 | 400pcs | $3984.0 | 0.62% | $24.71 |
![]() | B0GMHJ3Q1D | Gtziqa | 2026-04-12 | No | $7.84 | -pcs | $- | -10.41% | $- |
![]() | B0G7GW7Q85 | NiHome | 2025-12-16 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | 8.87% | $- |
![]() | B0GJLGYMLN | Handship | 2026-02-03 | No | $8.83 | -pcs | $- | 8.93% | $- |
![]() | B0GKFNXZDP | Kathfly | 2026-01-29 | No | $11.87 | -pcs | $- | 16.12% | $- |
![]() | B0GXKR7LXR | Auteonsa | 2026-04-17 | No | $7.57 | -pcs | $- | -1.14% | $- |
![]() | B0GQYGHL2Z | NiHome | 2026-03-03 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | 9.35% | $- |
![]() | B0H1HCLKXS | NZUCPZ | 2026-05-12 | No | $7.59 | -pcs | $- | 3.07% | $- |
![]() | B0GJLLVHGQ | Handship | 2026-02-03 | No | $7.99 | -pcs | $- | 5.21% | $- |
![]() | B0GDFQGQ2M | Ajcotahm | 2025-12-31 | No | $4.69 | -pcs | $- | -24.98% | $- |
![]() | B0G7GWSVDM | NiHome | 2025-12-16 | No | $11.99 | -pcs | $- | 15.91% | $- |
![]() | B0GFMQPMKS | AOFLLU | 2026-07-19 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | -1.84% | $- |
![]() | B0FZRXWL8G | Jasopaco | 2025-11-05 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GFMMTQT6 | AOFLLU | 2026-03-30 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0H2Y5ZSDG | Lolalet | 2026-05-26 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌新上架成功率为0%,且整体新上架盈利率也为0%,说明这里不是机会市场,而是明显的价格战/拥挤市场。 结果很直接——不管是大品牌还是小商家,现在切入都没有高胜算;小商家如果没有明显差异化和更强预算,基本只会被快速淘汰。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经处在高压价战和超饱和边缘。 近一年新品牌进入9个,但25个新上架里没有一个达到可确认盈利,新品牌成功率是0%,而整体可确认盈利率也只有5.96%,说明不是“少数赢家”,而是大多数新品都在亏。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |