
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌成功率只有11.54%,整体新上架成功率只有10%,同时90%的新产品都没有跑出可接受利润;市场已经明显进入低利润、强竞争状态。 虽然你有50万人民币预算,单个ASIN的前期铺货、运费和投放是够的,但这只是“入场券”,不是长期胜算,尤其这个类目里已经有少数强势品牌把可赚钱位置占住了。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这不是一个值得进入的市场:新品牌几乎全军覆没,价格战已经把利润打穿。 你的500,000 CNY预算表面上够做单个ASIN的起步,但放到这个市场里,只能覆盖早期铺货,根本不足以承受后续的品牌战、广告战和长期运营成本。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:新品盈利率只有9.76%,整体盈利产品占比15.15%,但新品牌新品盈利率更高的同时,新品牌新品亏损率也高达84.62%,说明这里不是稳定赚钱,而是少数样本在撑门面;更关键的是,活跃能赚钱的只剩少数老品牌,市场已经明显偏向老品牌和价格/流量硬拼。 你如果现在进场,不能把它当成“普通上新”,而是要当成高投入、低胜率、强对抗的市场。
这个市场不适合现在进入,结论很明确:已经接近/进入价格战区,且新品牌成功率太低。 关键问题不是有没有卖点,而是大多数新产品利润太薄、失败率太高,做小生意更难,做大品牌也要重投重砸才有机会。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FVF771CC | Jotsome | 2025-11-18 | Yes | C$23.0 | 100pcs | C$2300.0 | 25.62% | C$589.26 |
![]() | B0FVF8RWP4 | Jotsome | 2025-10-22 | Yes | C$19.81 | 100pcs | C$1981.0 | 21.51% | C$426.12 |
![]() | B0CJF697Z1 | Koncci | 2023-10-27 | Yes | C$15.69 | 200pcs | C$3138.0 | 11.55% | C$362.44 |
![]() | B0GJTJS5JB | PARTSPOWER | 2026-02-11 | Yes | C$10.88 | 300pcs | C$3264.0 | 10.63% | C$346.97 |
![]() | B0DBR4WP3P | Riobat | 2024-10-22 | Yes | C$13.98 | 100pcs | C$1398.0 | 22.13% | C$309.38 |
![]() | B07ZJ89HDZ | Mokani | 2019-12-21 | Yes | C$16.49 | 100pcs | C$1649.0 | 15.73% | C$259.39 |
![]() | B08H1NQHM9 | Mokani | 2020-09-02 | Yes | C$15.72 | 100pcs | C$1572.0 | 15.45% | C$242.88 |
![]() | B0CG8Q66LD | Apeso | 2023-09-21 | Yes | C$12.99 | 100pcs | C$1299.0 | 11.09% | C$144.06 |
![]() | B0FN2TZX7W | ROZZBY | 2025-10-18 | Yes | C$15.99 | 50pcs | C$799.5 | 15.33% | C$122.57 |
![]() | B0CY9NCKYL | Riobat | 2024-05-06 | Yes | C$13.25 | 10pcs | C$132.5 | 20.54% | C$27.22 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FVF771CC | Jotsome | 2025-11-18 | Yes | C$23.0 | 100pcs | C$2300.0 | 25.62% | C$589.26 |
![]() | B0FVF8RWP4 | Jotsome | 2025-10-22 | Yes | C$19.81 | 100pcs | C$1981.0 | 21.51% | C$426.12 |
![]() | B0GJTJS5JB | PARTSPOWER | 2026-02-11 | Yes | C$10.88 | 300pcs | C$3264.0 | 10.63% | C$346.97 |
![]() | B0FN2TZX7W | ROZZBY | 2025-10-18 | Yes | C$15.99 | 50pcs | C$799.5 | 15.33% | C$122.57 |
这不是一个适合进入的市场:新品牌新上架成功率只有12%,整体新上架成功率也只有10%,而失败占到88%~90%;更关键的是,市场里几乎被老品牌和既有玩法锁死,属于明显高风险、接近价格战的环境。
证据很直接:在已识别的盈利新上架里,真正能代表新品牌的只有 ROZZBY 的 B0FN2TZX7W 和 Jotsome 的 B0FVF771CC、B0FVF8RWP4,说明新品牌能跑出来的案例非常少;而失败样本里,Calendarin 贡献了 7 个亏损新上架,说明很多品牌不是没进场,而是进场后普遍亏。老品牌也没好到哪去,老品牌新上架成功率只有6.67%,失败率高达93.33%,说明不是“老牌更稳”,而是这个品类本身竞争太硬。更重要的是,市场里出现大量新品牌和老品牌混战,但可见盈利只集中在极少数品牌和少数 ASIN,像 PARTSPOWER 的 B0GJTJS5JB、Jotsome 的 B0FVF771CC/B0FVF8RWP4、ROZZBY 的 B0FN2TZX7W、Apeso 的 B0CG8Q66LD、Koncci 的 B0CJF697Z1;这些成功样本共同点是“基于旧款做微创新 + 外观差异 + 低价/装饰属性”,不是靠完全新打法。用户预算 500,000 CNY 虽然覆盖这类单品前期投入绰绰有余,但这不代表能穿透市场壁垒,因为样本里的常见启动预算只在约 1,056~4,628 CAD 区间,真正难的是后续品牌、研发和持续营销,不是首轮备货。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场现在不适合进入,结论很明确:已经进入价格战+过度拥挤状态。 近一年新品成功率只有9.76%,而且最近的新发布几乎都是失败:2025年新品里只有3个赚钱、22个不赚钱,2026年延续成12个不赚钱、只有1个可验证赚钱,说明门槛不是在下降,而是在变高。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |