
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经处在明显的价格战和过度拥挤状态。 新品成功率是0%,且新产品利润区间集中在-35.86%到-17.55%,说明不是“能不能卖”,而是“卖了也大概率亏”。
从数据看,近一年的26个新上架里没有一个盈利,新品牌Haier的2个新品全部亏损,成功率0%;老品牌阵营里也没有出现可复制的赚钱样本,Bomann、Midea、LG、Gorenje、Comfee、Hisense这些品牌的新产品基本都是亏损或不可盈利。更关键的是,2025到2026的新上架数量在增加,但盈利结果没有任何改善,2026年仍然持续冒出亏损新品,这说明市场是在扩张中恶化,不是在变健康。样本里最典型的是 Haier 的 B0FR3Y17RZ,售价€555.35,利润率-24.88%,已有256条评论但仍然亏;Bomann 的 B0DH8CTWW9,281条评论、月销50台、月营收€16.32万,依然没转正,这类数据更像是在用规模硬扛,而不是靠利润赚钱。对小商家来说,真正的低评论成功案例没有看到,反而连评论不多的新品也被利润压没了,说明如果没有强研发、强品牌或强渠道,很难做出正利润。
一句话:别进。 你的50万CNY表面上够覆盖单个新品前期启动,但在这个类目里,钱不是门槛,盈利才是门槛,而当前数据证明几乎没有稳定盈利空间。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,预算也不够。 你只有50万CNY,而新产品入场的参考预算约29,130欧元,折合大约23万CNY左右,表面上看能覆盖“起步”,但这只是前几个月的采购、物流和投放,不包含研发、品牌和认证;更关键的是,这个市场已经是明显的价格战区,整体可盈利产品占比0%,新发布产品可盈利占比也是0%,属于高风险且不适合现在进场的市场。
证据很直接:市场投资难度为低,但盈利难度为高,说明不是“进不去”,而是“进去也很难赚到钱”。样本里Haier作为新进入品牌,两个新品B0FR3Y17RZ和B0GWND7PSG都不盈利,前者售价555.35欧元却是-24.88%利润率;老品牌Bomann虽然有规模和销售,但它的品牌样本里盈利率同样是0%,并且B0DH8CTWW9仍有281条评论、月销50台、月营收163.22万欧元,却没有转成可盈利产品,说明这个类目不是靠铺货就能赚钱,而是被同质化和成本压死了。可复制的“真正小业务成功案例”几乎没有:我能看到的低评论新产品Exquisit的B0FKN6ZFYC只有27条评论,但它也不盈利,说明不是小业务做不起来,而是这个市场连低评论新品都被利润挤没了;同时市场中大量旧品牌新产品占比高,且新老品牌新发布盈利率都为0%,这不是可进入信号,而是饱和信号。
你不应该推进。 如果硬要做,大品牌也不能把Haier、Bomann这类结果当成正面模板;小业务更没有可依赖的成功样本,当前最真实的判断是:市场已接近饱和,利润被压到0,进入后大概率只能打价格战。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这不是一个值得进入的市场:已出现明显价格战和饱和信号,新品几乎清一色亏损,成功率为 0%,不适合大品牌,也不适合小品牌。 现有数据里,新品利润率集中在 -35.9% 到 -17.6%,新品牌新上架盈利率 0%,老品牌新上架同样 0%;月度趋势也显示 2025 下半年到 2026 年新上架不断增加,但盈利产品为 0,亏损新品在 2026 年明显放量,说明市场在扩张的同时在快速恶化。
这个市场不适合进入,已经接近/进入价格战与过度拥挤状态。 新品盈利率是0%,已披露的新品牌新上架里没有看到可复制的真实赚钱样本;现在能活下来的,基本都是旧品牌在硬扛,且还在亏。市场不是“还能不能做”,而是“进去大概率先亏”。
证据很直接: 以该子类目为样本,已知利润分布里33.33%的产品是亏损低于-10%,而新产品里30.77%已明确亏损低于-10%,其余多数只是“暂无可判断”,不是赚钱。时间上看,2025年只有6个新上架非盈利产品,2026年又快速增加到15个非盈利新产品,说明进入节奏在加快、而不是变健康。核心样本 ASIN B0GZH4LX4F(Midea)售价€619,利润率-23.1%,139条评论,且销售为停滞;同品牌 Midea 在该类目9个产品里0个盈利,品牌投入合计约$29,130.17,成功率0%。另一个典型是 B0983Y1GLG(Midea),月销400、营收€130,556,但利润率仍是-46.75%,说明这里不是“卖得动就赚钱”,而是卖得越多亏得越狠。再看新产品样本,已出现的非盈利新品包括 B0FY7MKDRG(LG,€628.83,-23.13%)、B0GL21BBKN(Midea,€462.77,-23.17%)、B0FR3Y17RZ(Haier,-24.88%)、B0G6ZRBPNX(Gorenje,-20.59%);这类产品里没有看到可靠的<300评论、且能稳定盈利的真实小商家案例,反而更像老品牌和重投放玩家在竞争。
结论很明确:大品牌也不是“高胜率进入”,小商家更不应进。 如果你硬要做,大品牌至少要准备明显高于单SKU启动预算的资源去做研发、品牌和长期投放,但这也只是“可能进场”,不是“容易成功”;小商家在这个市场里想赢,基本会被迫走激进投放/刷量式打法,风险很高,不建议。可跟的对象主要是这些旧品牌强势但仍亏损的样本:Midea、LG、Gorenje、Hisense、Comfee、Haier,对应重点ASIN是 B0GZH4LX4F、B0983Y1GLG、B0CJCF8NTB、B0FY7MKDRG、B0GL21BBKN、B0FR3Y17RZ。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0983Y1GLG | Midea | 2021-06-28 | No | €326.39 | 400pcs | €130556.0 | -46.75% | €-61034.93 |
![]() | B0CJCF8NTB | Midea | 2023-09-19 | No | €529.88 | 100pcs | €52988.0 | -33.57% | €-17788.07 |
![]() | B08KQFBHT5 | Gorenje | 2020-10-02 | No | €307.19 | 100pcs | €30719.0 | -41.05% | €-12610.14 |
![]() | B09JCJHK74 | Gorenje | 2021-10-14 | No | €354.75 | 100pcs | €35475.0 | -31.73% | €-11256.21 |
![]() | B09JKQQ1N7 | Gorenje | 2021-10-15 | No | €363.31 | 100pcs | €36331.0 | -30.5% | €-11080.95 |
![]() | B084PP15CB | Hisense | 2020-02-11 | No | €373.16 | 100pcs | €37316.0 | -28.54% | €-10649.98 |
![]() | B0C61H1Z9W | Midea | 2023-05-23 | No | €398.21 | 50pcs | €19910.5 | -43.2% | €-8601.33 |
![]() | B0FY7MKDRG | LG | 2025-10-29 | No | €628.83 | 50pcs | €31441.5 | -23.13% | €-7272.41 |
![]() | B0GL21BBKN | Midea | 2026-02-02 | No | €462.77 | 50pcs | €23138.5 | -23.17% | €-5361.19 |
![]() | B0DTB1WSJN | Gorenje | 2025-01-17 | No | €492.83 | 50pcs | €24641.5 | -13.52% | €-3331.53 |
![]() | B0DHSJFKTC | LG | 2024-09-23 | No | €704.26 | 20pcs | €14085.2 | -19.69% | €-2773.37 |
![]() | B0DYQ93HLT | Hisense | 2025-02-27 | No | €507.02 | 20pcs | €10140.4 | -22.52% | €-2283.61 |
![]() | B0BXF6466K | Hisense | 2023-03-09 | No | €542.16 | 10pcs | €5421.6 | -10.26% | €-556.25 |
![]() | B0CZ9BWPMH | Exquisit | 2024-03-28 | No | €406.3 | 10pcs | €4063.0 | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GHZJ156C | Gorenje | 2026-01-21 | No | €390.5 | -pcs | €- | -25.43% | €- |
![]() | B0DDCHX8SY | Samsung | 2024-08-16 | No | €720.41 | -pcs | €- | -16.93% | €- |
![]() | B0D5VM7648 | Gorenje | 2024-06-01 | No | €460.04 | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0FKN6ZFYC | Exquisit | 2025-07-31 | No | €312.05 | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0G6ZRBPNX | Gorenje | 2025-12-15 | No | €419.86 | -pcs | €- | -20.59% | €- |
B0811KF1ML | Comfee | 2026-01-31 | No | €261.12 | 50pcs | €13056.0 | -% | €- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FY7MKDRG | LG | 2025-10-29 | No | €628.83 | 50pcs | €31441.5 | -23.13% | €-7272.41 |
![]() | B0GL21BBKN | Midea | 2026-02-02 | No | €462.77 | 50pcs | €23138.5 | -23.17% | €-5361.19 |
![]() | B0GHZJ156C | Gorenje | 2026-01-21 | No | €390.5 | -pcs | €- | -25.43% | €- |
![]() | B0FKN6ZFYC | Exquisit | 2025-07-31 | No | €312.05 | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0G6ZRBPNX | Gorenje | 2025-12-15 | No | €419.86 | -pcs | €- | -20.59% | €- |
B0811KF1ML | Comfee | 2026-01-31 | No | €261.12 | 50pcs | €13056.0 | -% | €- | |
![]() | B0GHYZ9H3K | Gorenje | 2026-01-21 | No | €417.79 | -pcs | €- | -21.54% | €- |
![]() | B0FR3Y17RZ | Haier | 2025-11-01 | No | €555.35 | -pcs | €- | -24.88% | €- |
![]() | B0FMPNVH5S | Midea | 2025-09-28 | No | €480.66 | -pcs | €- | -25.36% | €- |
![]() | B0FTM41998 | Exquisit | 2025-10-02 | No | €391.16 | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GZH4LX4F | Midea | 2026-06-12 | No | €590.88 | -pcs | €- | -23.09% | €- |
![]() | B0H5V7RQG9 | Midea | 2026-06-18 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GWND7PSG | Haier | 2026-04-09 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GNTGXP3W | Exquisit | 2026-02-17 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GVS3WTDH | Comfee | 2026-04-02 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GNT85X2P | Exquisit | 2026-02-17 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GK1VL1FQ | Comfee | 2026-01-27 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0H4R5TW39 | Hisense | 2026-06-10 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GPD9TRTJ | Midea | 2026-02-20 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
![]() | B0GXKKBJB6 | Comfee | 2026-04-17 | No | €- | -pcs | €- | -% | €- |
这个市场不可进入,已经是价格战+过度饱和的高风险市场。 结果非常明确:新上架产品成功率是0%,可识别的整体盈利率也是0%,而且近一年新产品几乎全部在亏损,说明不是“还有机会”,而是“基本被打穿了”。
证据很硬:新产品里没有任何盈利样本,21个新上架产品全部非盈利;旧品牌新上架也同样是19个全军覆没。 这不是偶发失败,而是稳定性的市场信号。品牌层面看,Midea、Exquisit、Comfee、Gorenje、LG 这些老牌在非盈利新产品里占比很高,说明大牌也在互相卷,Midea单独就占了23.81%的新产品亏损;而新品牌里只有 Haier,被抓到的2个新产品全部亏损,根本没有可复制的“真实小商家成功案例”。另外,市场里多数产品利润率都低于-10%,而且热度并没有转化成利润;近一年新产品发布量持续出现亏损,2026年6月又集中冒出新产品,但仍然是3个亏损、1个结果未明,没有任何扭转迹象。你给的单个ASIN可用预算是500000 CNY,远高于报告里新产品早期建议预算约29130 EUR,说明钱不是最大问题,真正问题是投入后也很难跑出正利润。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合现在进入,已经是明显的价格战/过度拥挤市场。 近期新品几乎都被老品牌包场,利润端没有形成有效突破;按当前数据看,不管大品牌还是小商家,都不是好赛道。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |