
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显过热。 13个新品牌、34个新品牌新品里,真正跑出来的只有3个,成功率仅8.82%;同时新品牌新品里90.48%都没形成可验证的盈利,最近新增产品几乎是一边倒失败,说明这里不是正常起盘市场,而是高压挤压市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算500,000 CNY远高于单个新品的推荐起步预算约2,640.79 USD(约1.9万CNY),钱够做单品启动,但市场回报太差:整体可判断的产品里只有20.00%盈利,新品里盈利率只有9.09%,而新品利润分布主要卡在10%~20%区间,说明已经是强价格竞争区,低利润和试错失败都很重。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不建议进入:已经出现明显过热,且新品牌成功率极低。 近半年新品牌扎堆入场,但新上架产品里真正赚钱的只占 9.09%,再加上大量新品直接亏损或无销量,说明这里不是可复制的机会市场,而是高压竞争市场。
大品牌视角: Motipuns 作为老品牌,11个可识别产品里有5个盈利、6个亏损,整体盈利率约 45.45%;其中较稳的单品是 B0F9KVBHYW,售价 $26.98,利润率 22.08%,月销 50,月营收 $134,900;B0CT5WS9ZR 也能做到 16.72% 利润率、月销 50、月营收 $104,000。但这类成功依赖老品牌资源和既有 listing 基础,不能当成小卖家的模板。按当前用户预算 500,000 CNY,只能覆盖单 ASIN 前期起盘,不足以支撑长期品牌投入、内容包装和持续投放,风险很高。
小卖家视角: 真正能当小品牌参考的只有 PraxiKidy 的 B0GG9YVH4W,这是新品牌里唯一清晰跑通的成功案例,售价 $28.71,利润率 18.44%,月销 50,月营收 $143,550,前期投入约 $4,241.04,其中广告约 $1,050.93。它能卖起来,靠的是“学校纪念册+礼品化外观+功能整合”的差异化;反面案例更有警示意义:Hiwhy 4个产品全亏损,ClassyWhimsy 5个产品全亏损;B0GXDV1387 和 B0GXDWTNYB 虽然评分高,但利润率只有 9.52% / 9.92%,已经掉进低利润红线附近,且都没有形成稳定销量;B0GXWBQKNC 甚至是 -4.57%。月度趋势也很差,2026年新品牌新品数量暴增,亏损新品远多于盈利新品,属于典型的挤压式入场环境。结论很直接:不要进场。 如果硬要做,大品牌也只是有条件承压,小品牌则需要接近“掠夺式营销”才能勉强抢量,但这不是健康机会。
这个市场不值得进入。 新品牌并不是靠“低成本小打法”在赢,而是被少数品牌用差异化设计、功能堆叠和更强投放硬拉出来;同时低利润产品占比很高,已经进入明显的价格战区。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0F1YLPGNN | DUNCAN & STONE PAPER CO. | 2025-03-18 | Yes | $27.5 | 50pcs | $1375.0 | 33.1% | $455.13 |
![]() | B0F1YGWL6B | DUNCAN & STONE PAPER CO. | 2025-03-18 | Yes | $27.4 | 50pcs | $1370.0 | 33.14% | $454.02 |
![]() | B0GHQ9WPSN | VYRANA | 2026-01-31 | Yes | $28.75 | 75pcs | $2156.25 | 16.62% | $358.37 |
![]() | B0F9KVBHYW | Motipuns | 2025-05-22 | Yes | $26.98 | 50pcs | $1349.0 | 22.08% | $297.86 |
![]() | B0GG9YVH4W | PraxiKidy | 2026-01-12 | Yes | $28.71 | 50pcs | $1435.5 | 18.44% | $264.71 |
![]() | B0GLWN79FM | Gersoniel | 2026-02-06 | Yes | $25.93 | 50pcs | $1296.5 | 19.14% | $248.16 |
![]() | B0DS852155 | Fancy Land | 2025-01-04 | Yes | $18.68 | 50pcs | $934.0 | 20.89% | $195.12 |
![]() | B0CT5WS9ZR | Motipuns | 2024-01-25 | Yes | $20.8 | 50pcs | $1040.0 | 16.72% | $173.89 |
![]() | B0DNJKNTNY | Motipuns | 2024-11-19 | Yes | $20.58 | 50pcs | $1029.0 | 16.27% | $167.42 |
![]() | B0F2T97GXM | Motipuns | 2025-03-28 | Yes | $20.71 | 50pcs | $1035.5 | 14.97% | $155.02 |
![]() | B0GCHTD5F3 | Motipuns | 2025-12-25 | Yes | $23.22 | 50pcs | $1161.0 | 13.0% | $150.93 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GHQ9WPSN | VYRANA | 2026-01-31 | Yes | $28.75 | 75pcs | $2156.25 | 16.62% | $358.37 |
![]() | B0GG9YVH4W | PraxiKidy | 2026-01-12 | Yes | $28.71 | 50pcs | $1435.5 | 18.44% | $264.71 |
![]() | B0GLWN79FM | Gersoniel | 2026-02-06 | Yes | $25.93 | 50pcs | $1296.5 | 19.14% | $248.16 |
![]() | B0GCHTD5F3 | Motipuns | 2025-12-25 | Yes | $23.22 | 50pcs | $1161.0 | 13.0% | $150.93 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经接近价格战/过度拥挤状态。 新品成功率只有9.09%,其中90.91%的新发布都没跑出来;老品牌新品更弱,成功率0%,说明连成熟玩家也不是靠“常规上新”就能稳定赚钱。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场已经过热,不建议进入。 2026年新品牌大量涌入,但几乎全部新发布都没跑出来:新品牌新发布盈利率只有8.82%,非盈利率高达88.24%;同时最近一年里新上架产品里,2026年出现32个非盈利新品、只有3个明确盈利新品,明显是越新越难赚。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |