
这个市场不适合进入:新品牌成功率是0%,新产品整体盈利率只有10.53%,而且近来的盈利几乎都被老品牌Olreco和少数大牌拿走,已经是明显的存量厮杀市场,不是给新玩家的机会场。用户50万预算虽然能覆盖单个ASIN的起步成本,但这只是起盘钱,不足以改变这个市场的低成功率和高对抗性。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入。 用户预算500,000 CNY看起来足够覆盖单个ASIN的起步成本,但市场已经出现明显的价格战和过度拥挤迹象,短期能活下来的更多是老品牌或大品牌,新品牌成功率太低,不值得推进。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这不是一个适合进入的市场:新品牌只有2个,但新品里真正跑赢的只有10.53%,整体可盈利产品也只有17.82%,而且新品利润率集中在25.88%~35.30%却仍然大量失败,说明这里不是“利润空间大”,而是“竞争太硬、同质化太重”。 对小品牌尤其不友好;对大品牌来说也只是靠品牌力和更高投放硬挤,不是值得新增切入的赛道。
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已经接近/进入过度拥挤区,且新品牌成功率极低。 新产品里可确认盈利的只有10.53%,而整体可确认盈利率也只有17.82%;更关键的是,新品牌新上架产品的盈利率为0%,说明真正的新品机会几乎不存在,当前更像是老品牌和强势品牌在互相挤压的存量战场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GZ2K6M2F | Olreco | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $19.57 | 100pcs | $1957.0 | 34.96% | $684.17 |
![]() | B0GZ2Q5CQX | Olreco | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $19.43 | 100pcs | $1943.0 | 34.84% | $676.95 |
![]() | B0GXJPXQ5Y | Olreco | 2026-04-17 | Yes | $18.05 | 100pcs | $1805.0 | 33.59% | $606.3 |
![]() | B0D6Z98R9F | Sarfel | 2024-06-13 | Yes | $20.0 | 100pcs | $2000.0 | 27.25% | $545.01 |
![]() | B0F7RSQFR8 | Sarfel | 2025-05-07 | Yes | $17.28 | 100pcs | $1728.0 | 25.9% | $447.56 |
![]() | B0FFH22HZF | Olreco | 2025-06-25 | Yes | $18.19 | 100pcs | $1819.0 | 24.28% | $441.66 |
![]() | B0F6NPK8QK | Sarfel | 2025-04-28 | Yes | $18.02 | 100pcs | $1802.0 | 24.04% | $433.21 |
![]() | B0H1R7RQ9J | Olreco | 2026-05-14 | Yes | $19.08 | 100pcs | $1908.0 | 22.51% | $429.5 |
![]() | B0FFH4BLGL | Olreco | 2025-06-25 | Yes | $18.51 | 100pcs | $1851.0 | 21.59% | $399.64 |
![]() | B0D2WCHNB5 | Sarfel | 2024-04-28 | Yes | $16.35 | 100pcs | $1635.0 | 24.21% | $395.84 |
![]() | B0FFH67XN3 | Olreco | 2025-06-25 | Yes | $18.36 | 100pcs | $1836.0 | 21.28% | $390.71 |
![]() | B0GZ2ZPY8H | Olreco | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $18.84 | 100pcs | $1884.0 | 18.24% | $343.65 |
![]() | B0F6NRC3DJ | Sarfel | 2025-04-28 | Yes | $16.47 | 100pcs | $1647.0 | 18.03% | $296.96 |
![]() | B0D2WD74W6 | Sarfel | 2024-04-28 | Yes | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | 19.38% | $290.51 |
![]() | B0FFH3CYYB | Olreco | 2025-06-25 | Yes | $14.41 | 100pcs | $1441.0 | 18.06% | $260.25 |
![]() | B0DJWP66FZ | The Children's Place | 2024-10-11 | Yes | $18.66 | 50pcs | $933.0 | 25.9% | $241.65 |
![]() | B0F38FX6RF | Love Wood | 2025-04-01 | Yes | $18.36 | 50pcs | $918.0 | 24.96% | $229.14 |
![]() | B0DJWQDRHX | The Children's Place | 2025-10-24 | Yes | $19.17 | 50pcs | $958.5 | 18.06% | $173.11 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GZ2K6M2F | Olreco | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $19.57 | 100pcs | $1957.0 | 34.96% | $684.17 |
![]() | B0GZ2Q5CQX | Olreco | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $19.43 | 100pcs | $1943.0 | 34.84% | $676.95 |
![]() | B0GXJPXQ5Y | Olreco | 2026-04-17 | Yes | $18.05 | 100pcs | $1805.0 | 33.59% | $606.3 |
![]() | B0H1R7RQ9J | Olreco | 2026-05-14 | Yes | $19.08 | 100pcs | $1908.0 | 22.51% | $429.5 |
![]() | B0GZ2ZPY8H | Olreco | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $18.84 | 100pcs | $1884.0 | 18.24% | $343.65 |
![]() | B0DJWQDRHX | The Children's Place | 2025-10-24 | Yes | $19.17 | 50pcs | $958.5 | 18.06% | $173.11 |
这个市场不适合进入:新品牌几乎没有真实成功样本,老品牌与少数强势品牌在抢利润,整体已经接近价格战。 以核心相似款来看,新品成功率只有10.53%,新品牌新品盈利率直接是0%,而整体可见利润产品占比也只有17.82%,这不是可复制的成长型市场,而是高竞争、高试错成本市场。
证据非常直接:用户预算50万人民币,理论上足够覆盖单个ASIN的起步盘,但市场门槛并不低。 新品进入的推荐预算中位数约2286.74美元,约合1.6万人民币,表面上看门槛不高;但真正能跑出来的并不是普通小品牌,而是老品牌Olreco和The Children's Place这类强势玩家。Olreco一家公司拿走了83.33%的新品盈利样本,且其盈利新品集中在B0GZ2K6M2F、B0H1R7RQ9J、B0GZ2Q5CQX、B0GZ2ZPY8H、B0GXJPXQ5Y,单品利润率大多在22.51%~34.96%,月销普遍50~100件;但它同时也背着43个新品亏损样本,说明即便是强品牌也在大量试错。更糟的是,新品牌样本里只有WAWSAM和Amazon Essentials,且两者新品全部亏损;其中WAWSAM唯一已知新品B0GBXNHS47月销50件、573条评论,Amazon Essentials的B0FJS6DQNC只有167条评论但仍亏损,B0GD58FSD2甚至没有明确销量数据,无法证明其是真正可复制的成功。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显的价格战/饱和区。 近一年新品牌几乎没有成功案例,最近新上架的商品里盈利率只有10.53%,而整体可识别利润的商品里也只有17.82%是赚钱的;更糟的是,最近的新增主要靠老品牌和老链接续命,而不是新品牌真正跑出来。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 28 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |