
这个市场不适合进入:已经明显过热,且利润被压到几乎全线失守。 40个可识别新品里,新品盈利率是0%,新品牌新品盈利率也是0%;近12个月几乎没有任何可复制的赚钱样本,已经不是“挑对产品就行”,而是“进来大概率先亏”。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这不是可进入的市场:预算能进场,但市场已明显饱和、价格战严重,成功概率很低。你的50万CNY足够覆盖单个新品的前期启动(市场推荐新品预算约4869.81 USD,约合3.5万CNY),但这只够“起盘”,不包含研发、品牌和认证;而市场里可识别利润产品占比0%,新上架产品盈利率也是0%,说明进场后大概率先碰到亏损而不是利润。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,属于明显的过热竞争/价格战市场。 全市场新品盈利率为0%,已出现大量新品牌扎堆入场,但几乎没有真正能赚钱的新品;对大品牌和小商家都不是好市场。
这个市场不建议进入:已经是低利润、强竞争的价格战区,而且还没有任何新品牌跑出可复制的盈利样本。 现有数据里,新品盈利率是0%,整体可确认盈利率也是0%,最近一年新上架产品几乎全部亏损,说明不是“还有机会”,而是“进去就先被挤压”。
证据很直接:可识别的新产品40个里,亏损占95%,其中-10%以下的占20%,0%到10%的只占22.5%,10%到20%的连1个都没有;按可确认口径看,整体盈利产品为0%,新品盈利产品也为0%。 近12个月新品几乎全是非盈利:2025年集中出现28个亏损新品,2026年又有10个亏损新品和2个旧链接改款亏损,说明市场不是在扩张盈利,而是在持续加剧内卷。品牌层面也一样,POVETIRE累计34个产品,盈利0、亏损34,成功率0%;几个典型失败款如 B0DPHTJ2PF、B0FFZC51Y3、B0FFZ8VTYC、B0FFZBRR36 都是“字母个性化+收纳+装饰”这类高度同质化思路,月销大多100件上下,但利润率仍然在-5.13%到5%之间,根本撑不起新进场。
大品牌进入:理论上可以砸钱试,但不是好市场;小商家进入:不现实,除非接受高预算、重营销、甚至带有掠夺式打法。 当前单个新品的建议启动预算约4869.81美元,按你给的5万元人民币预算看,单SKU表面够启动,但这还没算研发、品牌包装、认证和后续拉量成本;而且高利润产品没有出现,说明不是“多花一点就能赢”,而是必须靠更强品牌力或更强打法硬抢。结论很明确:不要进入。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0D9GJMCFB | POVETIRE | 2024-08-31 | No | $6.99 | 100pcs | $699.0 | -5.13% | $-35.85 |
![]() | B0FFZBWCRR | POVETIRE | 2025-06-28 | No | $5.99 | 100pcs | $599.0 | -2.42% | $-14.49 |
![]() | B0DK6CJ24S | YHXX YLEN | 2024-10-17 | No | $7.6 | 50pcs | $380.0 | -2.52% | $-9.57 |
![]() | B0GVF1FQHV | Munzong | 2026-03-30 | No | $10.59 | 100pcs | $1059.0 | -0.49% | $-5.18 |
![]() | B0DGC4N684 | POVETIRE | 2024-11-10 | No | $6.99 | 100pcs | $699.0 | 4.72% | $33.0 |
![]() | B0C1VCSFPR | POVETIRE | 2023-04-08 | No | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | 3.46% | $34.57 |
![]() | B0DGBYNH77 | POVETIRE | 2024-11-10 | No | $6.99 | 100pcs | $699.0 | 5.57% | $38.94 |
![]() | B0DPHTJ2PF | POVETIRE | 2025-05-09 | No | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | 4.77% | $47.66 |
![]() | B0FQP63RY9 | MOFASVIGI | 2026-06-30 | No | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | 5.12% | $51.15 |
![]() | B0DK4N749N | POVETIRE | 2024-10-16 | No | $7.99 | 100pcs | $799.0 | 8.94% | $71.44 |
![]() | B0C53JQSBR | kangaroo | 2023-05-12 | No | $15.99 | 50pcs | $799.5 | 13.32% | $106.5 |
![]() | B0FFZ8VTYC | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.3 | -pcs | $- | -0.53% | $- |
![]() | B0FCC27CTB | YOcity | 2025-06-07 | No | $9.68 | -pcs | $- | -17.88% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZC51Y3 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.37 | -pcs | $- | 0.04% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZ99SH1 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.27 | -pcs | $- | -0.78% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZ6YR63 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.39 | -pcs | $- | 0.2% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZBRR36 | POVETIRE | 2025-06-28 | No | $6.33 | -pcs | $- | -0.29% | $- |
![]() | B0FS7KJRDP | cherrboll | 2025-09-23 | No | $6.99 | -pcs | $- | -3.57% | $- |
![]() | B0G4QMBHYM | POVETIRE | 2026-06-18 | No | $10.99 | -pcs | $- | -18.71% | $- |
![]() | B0FSCHFLB1 | cherrboll | 2025-09-24 | No | $6.99 | -pcs | $- | -21.44% | $- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0GVF1FQHV | Munzong | 2026-03-30 | No | $10.59 | 100pcs | $1059.0 | -0.49% | $-5.18 |
![]() | B0FQP63RY9 | MOFASVIGI | 2026-06-30 | No | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | 5.12% | $51.15 |
![]() | B0FFZ8VTYC | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.3 | -pcs | $- | -0.53% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZC51Y3 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.37 | -pcs | $- | 0.04% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZ99SH1 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.27 | -pcs | $- | -0.78% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZ6YR63 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.39 | -pcs | $- | 0.2% | $- |
![]() | B0FS7KJRDP | cherrboll | 2025-09-23 | No | $6.99 | -pcs | $- | -3.57% | $- |
![]() | B0G4QMBHYM | POVETIRE | 2026-06-18 | No | $10.99 | -pcs | $- | -18.71% | $- |
![]() | B0FSCHFLB1 | cherrboll | 2025-09-24 | No | $6.99 | -pcs | $- | -21.44% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZ6PGC5 | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.36 | -pcs | $- | -0.06% | $- |
![]() | B0FFZC4HCR | POVETIRE | 2025-12-20 | No | $6.31 | -pcs | $- | -0.46% | $- |
![]() | B0FN6WK363 | Generic | 2025-08-21 | No | $12.79 | -pcs | $- | -30.72% | $- |
![]() | B0FVLS5PRD | BFNAAgirl | 2025-10-10 | No | $7.99 | -pcs | $- | 6.26% | $- |
![]() | B0FVLV2P7D | BFNAAgirl | 2025-10-10 | No | $7.99 | -pcs | $- | 6.26% | $- |
![]() | B0FWK5D9GS | BFNAAgirl | 2025-10-16 | No | $7.99 | -pcs | $- | -13.36% | $- |
![]() | B0GVF2ZMTH | FujDun | 2026-03-30 | No | $11.99 | -pcs | $- | -13.01% | $- |
![]() | B0FS7MWRMX | cherrboll | 2025-09-23 | No | $6.99 | -pcs | $- | -3.57% | $- |
![]() | B0DZM8M4S4 | POVETIRE | 2025-07-30 | No | $6.98 | -pcs | $- | 2.72% | $- |
![]() | B0G4QJGLR3 | POVETIRE | 2026-06-16 | No | $11.16 | -pcs | $- | -9.2% | $- |
![]() | B0FSCMVQNR | cherrboll | 2025-09-24 | No | $6.99 | -pcs | $- | -4.4% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显是过度拥挤且接近价格战区。 直接看数据:所有可识别的新产品盈利率是0%,新品牌新上架产品盈利率也是0%,老品牌新上架产品同样是0%,说明不是“少数赢家”问题,而是整片市场都在亏。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,已经是明显的过热和价格战市场。 近期新品牌几乎全部失败:新品牌新上架产品盈利率是0%,新品牌新上架非盈利率是100%;2025年集中出现了28个新上架非盈利产品,2026年又继续出现10个,说明不是机会窗口,而是持续加剧的内卷。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |