
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏饱和,而且利润被压到低毛利区。 现在只有23.08%的新发布产品能跑到可接受盈利,新产品里75%失败;更要命的是,近期开出来的成功样本利润只在11.83%到13.53%,而亏损样本里还出现了3.32%这种几乎没空间的案例,说明这里已经不是“做出来就能赚”的市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算500,000 CNY表面上足以覆盖单个新品的前期启动,但市场已经被价格战和低利润压住了:整体可识别产品中只有21.21%盈利,新品盈利率23.08%,而新品利润区间下限只有3.32%到13.53%,说明多数新进入者只能在很薄的利润带里挣扎。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,属于高饱和、明显价格战区。 新品牌虽然有少量成功样本,但整体只有23.08%的新发布产品达到可接受盈利,新入局品牌9个、老品牌15个,说明竞争已经很挤;而且失败样本里大量产品只有低个位数到低双位数利润,很多还卖不动,说明不是“做得出来就能赚到”的市场。
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战区,且小品牌想无靠山切入几乎没有胜算。 新品牌里真正跑通的只有 MTGKO、Tilcare、AN BAILIHUA 三个,成功率只有 23.08%,而且它们的盈利率都只是 11.83%~13.53%,刚刚踩线,不是健康高利润市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B09RYLXT1D | Kitsch | 2022-02-26 | Yes | C$18.75 | 300pcs | C$5625.0 | 15.96% | C$897.75 | |
![]() | B0FXMNSD6M | AN BAILIHUA | 2025-10-24 | Yes | C$17.61 | 300pcs | C$5283.0 | 12.9% | C$681.51 |
![]() | B0GY6MBHX6 | MTGKO | 2026-06-25 | Yes | C$13.64 | 300pcs | C$4092.0 | 11.83% | C$484.09 |
![]() | B01L5DBDXS | Belula | 2016-06-21 | Yes | C$33.68 | 50pcs | C$1684.0 | 27.84% | C$468.83 |
![]() | B0CBYLL2QC | Backski | 2023-07-22 | Yes | C$22.83 | 100pcs | C$2283.0 | 17.71% | C$404.32 |
![]() | B0DP7L2K35 | Tilcare | 2025-10-01 | Yes | C$21.31 | 100pcs | C$2131.0 | 13.53% | C$288.33 |
![]() | B09N39CJX3 | BEAUTAIL | 2023-03-05 | Yes | C$16.76 | 50pcs | C$838.0 | 10.77% | C$90.26 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FXMNSD6M | AN BAILIHUA | 2025-10-24 | Yes | C$17.61 | 300pcs | C$5283.0 | 12.9% | C$681.51 |
![]() | B0GY6MBHX6 | MTGKO | 2026-06-25 | Yes | C$13.64 | 300pcs | C$4092.0 | 11.83% | C$484.09 |
![]() | B0DP7L2K35 | Tilcare | 2025-10-01 | Yes | C$21.31 | 100pcs | C$2131.0 | 13.53% | C$288.33 |
结论很直接:这个市场不适合新进入,尤其不是“轻投入就能做”的市场。 现在的信号是明显的低利润高竞争:新产品盈利率只有25.00%,而新品牌里新上架产品的盈利率也只有27.27%,失败率分别高达75.00%和72.73%;更关键的是,市场里已经出现明显的价格/利润挤压,很多新产品利润率落在10%~20%区间,甚至有大量接近或低于10%的样本,说明进入后很容易被打成低毛利竞争。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战区,而且对新品牌和小商家都不友好。 近期香港新增品牌里,真正赚钱的只有少数,且最新一批新品的盈利率只有23.08%,非盈利占72.73%;同时近期新品里出现了多个低利润甚至亏损的案例,说明竞争正在变得更难,而不是更容易。
证据很直接:按时间看,2025年10月还有2个新品牌新品能赚钱,但到2026年5月开始,新增产品里亏损案例明显增多;2026年样本里新品牌盈利/亏损已经变成3个赚钱、8个亏钱,盈利率只有27.27%。典型案例里,Tilcare 的 B0DP7L2K35 还能做到 13.53% 利润率,但它花了约 3,701.74 CAD 的入场预算,且使用了明显偏强营销手法;MTGKO 的 B0GY6MBHX6 利润率只有 11.83%,预算更高,约 8,771.40 CAD,说明想靠正常打法做出结果,投入并不低。反面案例更危险:Vidi Care 的 B0H2PWKL6V 利润率只有 3.32%,直接亏;AN BAILIHUA 的 B0GNKJHFNY 也亏,说明低价竞争已经压缩到很薄。市场总体可见利润产品只占 21.21%,整体总收入样本约 44,881.1 CAD,但这不是机会信号,反而是少数头部在吃存量。
对大品牌来说,虽然能靠更高预算和品牌力硬进,但这不是“高概率成功”的市场,而是需要额外品牌投入、内容投放和长期拉新才能勉强站住;对小商家来说,更糟,真正可参考的成功样本非常少,Tilcare 这类看似小品牌成功的案例也带有强营销痕迹,不应当当作普通小商家模板。你现在不该进这个类目:市场已经偏饱和,近期成功率低,利润被压到10%附近,想赢要么烧钱,要么走偏激营销。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |