
这个市场不建议进入。它已经明显接近价格战区,虽未达到“30个以上新品牌”的极端超饱和,但新品牌新品成功率只有28.57%,新品整体成功率也只有45%,而且多数新货利润卡在10.08%~18.38%,说明竞争已经偏硬,后进者很难靠常规打法赚钱。
证据很直接:当前市场里只有6个新品牌,却有23个老品牌在场;新品牌里真正能赚钱的只有 lengnoyp 的 B0FRMVVPFG($11.74,利润率23.39%,月销约200)和 GEAMSAM 的 B0GDDZ5KLB($24.08,利润率20.0%,月销约100),这两个才算小商家可参考的真实成功样本。反过来,Afcabakila 的 B0GJ5PQH4K 是典型失败样本,售价 $26.28,利润率-9.13%,6条评论却没有有效收入;SONGMICS 作为新入场品牌也没跑通,B0G4D19BD6 和 B0GWQTGTNT 都亏,且 B0G4D19BD6 已有2012条评论,B0GWQTGTNT 41条评论、11.4%利润率但仍亏,这类更像强推型竞争者,不是小商家能复制的路径。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入这个市场。它已经明显偏拥挤,且新品牌赚钱的概率很低;以你50万人民币预算来看,能做单个ASIN的前期投入,但不足以覆盖长期品牌、研发和认证的持续消耗。
市场层面,已识别可判断盈利的产品里,盈利率只有34.04%,而新品盈利率只有45.00%,说明不是一个容易吃到红利的市场;更关键的是,新品牌新品盈利率仅28.57%,对应未盈利率高达71.43%,这对小商家非常不友好。旧品牌在新品里占比65.00%,并且旧品牌新品盈利率53.85%,这说明这个类目更像是老玩家靠资源和品牌效应在收割,新玩家很难复制。再看具体品牌,SONGMICS 作为新入场品牌,2个新品全部亏损,代表性ASIN有 B0G4D19BD6($30.58,利润率13.39%,但已亏)和 B0GWQTGTNT($25.59,利润率11.4%,但已亏);Afcabakila 的新品 B0GJ5PQH4K 直接是-9.13%利润率、6条评论、0收入,属于失败样本。相反,真正能活下来的案例集中在老品牌/成熟玩家:pickpiff 的 B0BRKSVP4Z($17.16,23.39%,月销4000,月收入$68.64k)、B0C5D5FNG1(19.5%,月销1000)、B0CCDRZ9MS(21.17%,月销900),以及 Mkono 的 B0FWC38TK8(200/月)和 B0FYLZ15ST(400/月),它们都是靠更低价、明确功能差异、非私模、轻量化结构在跑量。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:已出现明显价格战和饱和信号,新品牌胜率低,强行进入只会烧钱。 现有数据里,新发布产品利润率大多卡在10.08%~18.38%,但真正跑出来的主要是老品牌;新品牌里既有6个新品牌在场,又有20个新发布,近半年新增新品里盈利/不盈利结构很不友好,属于高竞争、低容错市场。
这个市场不值得进入:新产品层面的盈利率只有45%能赚钱,但真正有数据的新品里,10%以下利润的占比已经不低,且低利润/亏损样本很多,说明这里不是高质量增长,而是靠压价和流量硬拼的市场。更关键的是,市场里只有6个新品牌,却有23个老品牌在场,新增品牌数量没有到“30~100+”的极端超饱和警戒,但竞争已经明显偏向老牌和强势品牌,新手很难靠常规打法赢。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0BRKSVP4Z | pickpiff | 2023-01-03 | Yes | $17.16 | 4000pcs | $68640.0 | 23.39% | $16054.9 |
![]() | B0DXKJNDD1 | bussdis | 2025-02-18 | Yes | $25.61 | 650pcs | $16646.5 | 20.79% | $3460.81 |
![]() | B0CCDRZ9MS | pickpiff | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $15.9 | 900pcs | $14310.0 | 21.17% | $3029.43 |
![]() | B0C5D5FNG1 | pickpiff | 2023-05-17 | Yes | $14.7 | 1000pcs | $14700.0 | 19.5% | $2866.5 |
![]() | B0DS1SFC7C | Mkono | 2025-01-02 | Yes | $15.22 | 1000pcs | $15220.0 | 14.05% | $2138.42 |
B0DQNV4G6K | Losneg | 2025-03-21 | Yes | $24.88 | 400pcs | $9952.0 | 19.4% | $1930.69 | |
![]() | B0FYLZ15ST | Mkono | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $19.04 | 400pcs | $7616.0 | 20.45% | $1557.48 |
![]() | B0BRKTW24W | pickpiff | 2023-01-03 | Yes | $16.05 | 400pcs | $6420.0 | 22.1% | $1418.82 |
![]() | B00PJCJ2I0 | MyGift | 2014-11-13 | Yes | $24.99 | 400pcs | $9996.0 | 13.91% | $1390.45 |
![]() | B0832HRNG3 | MyGift | 2019-12-24 | Yes | $27.99 | 400pcs | $11196.0 | 11.13% | $1246.12 |
![]() | B0DKNXLQJB | Emibele | 2024-10-23 | Yes | $23.95 | 225pcs | $5388.75 | 21.56% | $1161.82 |
![]() | B0DJ2BL2MW | Poyilooo | 2024-11-01 | Yes | $21.94 | 225pcs | $4936.5 | 21.5% | $1061.35 |
![]() | B0DJ29JH8N | Poyilooo | 2024-11-01 | Yes | $21.82 | 225pcs | $4909.5 | 19.03% | $934.28 |
![]() | B0FTRLLDVD | bussdis | 2025-10-03 | Yes | $19.92 | 200pcs | $3984.0 | 19.26% | $767.32 |
![]() | B0FF9V25H2 | VLANDO | 2025-06-24 | Yes | $23.61 | 200pcs | $4722.0 | 14.46% | $682.81 |
![]() | B0GKNH6469 | VLANDO | 2026-01-30 | Yes | $19.86 | 200pcs | $3972.0 | 16.48% | $654.59 |
![]() | B0CN2TBZVS | SMFANLIN | 2023-11-10 | Yes | $31.25 | 100pcs | $3125.0 | 16.3% | $509.38 |
![]() | B0G2WTJYXF | Losneg | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $24.79 | 100pcs | $2479.0 | 20.12% | $498.78 |
B0FWC38TK8 | Mkono | 2025-10-15 | Yes | $15.71 | 200pcs | $3142.0 | 15.25% | $479.16 | |
![]() | B0F48HDB96 | Mkono | 2025-04-09 | Yes | $15.67 | 200pcs | $3134.0 | 15.13% | $474.18 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FYLZ15ST | Mkono | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $19.04 | 400pcs | $7616.0 | 20.45% | $1557.48 |
![]() | B0FTRLLDVD | bussdis | 2025-10-03 | Yes | $19.92 | 200pcs | $3984.0 | 19.26% | $767.32 |
![]() | B0GKNH6469 | VLANDO | 2026-01-30 | Yes | $19.86 | 200pcs | $3972.0 | 16.48% | $654.59 |
![]() | B0G2WTJYXF | Losneg | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $24.79 | 100pcs | $2479.0 | 20.12% | $498.78 |
B0FWC38TK8 | Mkono | 2025-10-15 | Yes | $15.71 | 200pcs | $3142.0 | 15.25% | $479.16 | |
![]() | B0GDDZ5KLB | GEAMSAM | 2025-12-31 | Yes | $24.08 | 100pcs | $2408.0 | 11.79% | $283.91 |
![]() | B0FRFLF3GW | MODOWEY | 2025-09-17 | Yes | $29.8 | 50pcs | $1490.0 | 18.9% | $281.61 |
B0FRMVVPFG | lengnoyp | 2025-09-18 | Yes | $11.74 | 200pcs | $2348.0 | 10.88% | $255.47 | |
![]() | B0FY2TJ6S6 | Mkono | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $17.16 | 50pcs | $858.0 | 13.41% | $115.06 |
这个市场不值得进入:新产品成功率只有25%,但失败率高达55%,而且新品牌里真正可复制的成功样本极少。 更关键的是,成功几乎都被老品牌和少数带旧链接的新品牌拿走,说明门槛高、竞争硬,新进者如果没有明显差异化和更高预算,很难活下来。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场已经偏危险,正在走向价格战/高竞争区,不适合直接进入。 近一年新品牌成功率只有28.57%,但失败率高达71.43%;更关键的是,近期新增产品里大多数都没有形成稳定利润,说明后进者越来越难做。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |