
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战市场。 新品牌新上架产品成功率是0.00%,整体可识别盈利产品占比只有3.39%,而新产品利润区间集中在-25.75%到2.06%,说明不是“做得更好就能赢”,而是大多数人都在亏钱。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 500000 CNY 预算勉强够做少数入场款,但市场已经明显被挤满,而且新品牌几乎没有真正跑通的案例,进去大概率会先被价格战和低利润拖死。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显失去机会。 当前样本里新品牌新上架的盈利率是0%,整体可识别产品盈利率只有3.39%,而新上架产品里非盈利占比达到90.91%;同时,旧品牌的新上架产品也全部亏损,说明这里不是“谁更会做就能赢”,而是典型的价格战+同质化高风险市场。
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌几乎没有成功空间,而且整体已经接近/落入低利润价格战。 新品里可见利润为负的占比很高,已知新产品中没有出现任何0%~40%以上的健康利润带;同时新品牌新发布产品盈利率为0%,说明小卖家想靠正常打法切入,成功概率极低。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0D96S4T7P | Freewindo | 2024-07-10 | Yes | $8.15 | 100pcs | $815.0 | 12.23% | $99.68 |
![]() | B0D96SHQSH | Freewindo | 2024-07-10 | Yes | $8.12 | 50pcs | $406.0 | 12.08% | $49.05 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0G3WGPCNY | Anyoifax | 2025-11-25 | No | $9.78 | 100pcs | $978.0 | -18.39% | $-179.85 |
![]() | B0G3WHZC9N | Anyoifax | 2025-11-25 | No | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | -16.65% | $-166.33 |
![]() | B0G1BDZKNY | TIECHI | 2025-11-07 | No | $6.2 | 50pcs | $310.0 | -34.61% | $-107.29 |
![]() | B0FQTGLJBH | UEHSNI | 2025-09-12 | No | $6.15 | 1000pcs | $6150.0 | -0.52% | $-31.98 |
![]() | B0GTSXF54C | Fematin | 2026-04-14 | No | $7.89 | 50pcs | $394.5 | -0.2% | $-0.78 |
![]() | B0GK16BYLR | ASMANNA | 2026-01-27 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | -9.77% | $- |
![]() | B0GJZFHGSZ | ASMANNA | 2026-01-27 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | -26.09% | $- |
![]() | B0GQRH26KS | Anyoifax | 2026-03-02 | No | $9.89 | -pcs | $- | -25.92% | $- |
![]() | B0FWXYWZRM | TIME&TRAVE | 2025-10-18 | No | $11.99 | -pcs | $- | 16.07% | $- |
![]() | B0GVY7TP88 | ASMANNA | 2026-04-03 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | -2.18% | $- |
![]() | B0GQ6YNTZ4 | KONVINIT | 2026-03-23 | No | $12.16 | -pcs | $- | -12.01% | $- |
![]() | B0G6Z7V54X | KONVINIT | 2025-12-15 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0H4L5VWTN | Fematin | 2026-06-09 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GB8B8RG5 | UEHSNI | 2025-12-21 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GFCL8CXG | Anyoifax | 2026-01-07 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GJDBNVS8 | TIECHI | 2026-01-23 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G3GNS35P | Axrivonte | 2025-11-22 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FNVQPHJ4 | Marbrasse | 2025-08-27 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G8J3SCHP | EasyPAG | 2025-12-18 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FXWJ7JG1 | Banafich | 2025-10-27 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入,且已经明显过热:新品牌与老品牌的新上架产品几乎全部失败,真正可复制的赚钱样本极少,竞争已经进入价格战和投放战。按现有数据看,不管是大品牌还是小商家,都不是一个高胜率市场;小商家若想硬进,基本只能靠更重的预算和更激进的打法,但这也不保证成功。
证据很直接:新上架产品成功率是0.00%,而所有可识别盈利产品占比只有3.39%,这已经是高风险信号。新品牌里,10个新上架样本里100%亏损;老品牌里,10个样本也100%亏损,说明不是单纯“新人不行”,而是这个细分里连老玩家都在亏。更关键的是,市场里可见的“成功案例”只有 Freewindo:B0D96S4T7P 和 B0D96SHQSH 两个盈利 ASIN,利润率分别约12.23%和12.08%,但它们是老品牌,不属于小商家可直接照抄的成功范本。反过来,失败样本里像 B0G3WGPCNY(Anyoifax,-18.39%)、B0G3WHZC9N(Anyoifax,-16.65%)、B0G1BDZKNY(TIECHI,-34.61%)、B0C7P3WMZC(Lebenrich,900件/月但-19.64%)都说明:有销量不等于有利润,市场已经在用低价和高成本把利润压没了。另外,Fematin 的 B0GTSXF54C 虽然是新品牌、新上架、活跃销售,但只卖到 50 件/月,利润率仍是-0.2%,启动投入约1183.50 美元,说明“看起来能卖”的新产品也可能只是做流水,不是赚钱。
从进入门槛看,用户预算是50万人民币,表面上够做单个 ASIN,但这只是前期源头、物流、广告,不含研发、品牌和认证;而市场里现有成功样本已经显示,想跑出结果往往不只是这点预算。对大品牌来说,唯一能参考的仍是 Freewindo 这种已经有验证的老品牌打法;对小商家来说,没有真实、稳定、低レビュー压力的成功样本可学,且高销量失败品很多,说明一旦进场,很可能要面对低利润甚至亏损。结论很明确:不要进入这个市场;如果一定要做,只能把它当成大品牌重金试错场,小商家不适合,且极可能需要更激进的营销手段才能勉强挤进去。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,结论很直接:已经进入高风险、接近失控的价格战区。 新品牌新品的可盈利率是0%,市场总体可识别的盈利产品只有3.39%,而最新一批新品牌新品全部失败,说明现在进场不是找机会,而是在接盘。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |