
这个市场不值得进入,而且对新品牌和小商家都不友好。核心故事很清楚:新品牌几乎没有跑赢,近年的新品已经明显落入价格战,只有老牌 Jiayi 的少数延伸款还能赚钱,但那不是小商家可复制的轻松入口。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,500,000 CNY 也不够把风险压住。 现有样本里,新品成功率只有 8.70%,低于 10% 的高风险线;而且 2026 年短时间内已经集中冒出 24 个新品牌/新上新样本,明显是超饱和信号,不是健康增长。
从钱的角度看,用户预算看起来能覆盖部分单 ASIN 的前期铺货、物流和基础投放,但对真正能跑出来的产品不稳:新品牌里 FUDUOXIAO 的新上架 ASIN B0GYD2KVZ8 只有 5.64% 利润率,直接亏;Jiayi 的新款 B0GJDHJVVR 利润率 13.09%、B0GHXN1CJD 利润率 17.87%,看起来能盈利,但这些只是少数成功样本,且都依赖老品牌势能或更成熟的结构,不是小商家可复制的轻松入口。更关键的是,市场里盈利产品占比只有 4.84%,说明大多数货都在低利润甚至亏损区间;再看趋势,2026 年 1 月到 4 月几乎是“新上架密集、亏损更多”的走势,价格战正在加深。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显价格战化,且对新品牌极不友好。 核心证据很直接:可识别利润产品只占 4.84%,新发布产品的盈利率也只有 8.70%;更关键的是,新品牌新发布盈利率为 0%,而新品牌新发布亏损率是 100%,说明新入场者几乎没有成功窗口。
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显的低利润竞争区,新品牌成功率太低。 新上架产品只有8.70%能跑出利润,整体可识别利润产品里只有4.84%盈利;而且新品牌在今年集中涌入了4个,23个新上架里20个是亏损/不盈利,走势是快速变差,不是上升机会。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GHXN1CJD | Jiayi | 2026-01-21 | Yes | €17.13 | 300pcs | €5139.0 | 17.87% | €918.34 |
![]() | B0GJDHJVVR | Jiayi | 2026-01-28 | Yes | €13.44 | 200pcs | €2688.0 | 13.09% | €351.86 |
![]() | B07RMHHNX4 | Jiayi | 2019-05-16 | Yes | €14.99 | 50pcs | €749.5 | 11.65% | €87.32 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GHXN1CJD | Jiayi | 2026-01-21 | Yes | €17.13 | 300pcs | €5139.0 | 17.87% | €918.34 |
![]() | B0GJDHJVVR | Jiayi | 2026-01-28 | Yes | €13.44 | 200pcs | €2688.0 | 13.09% | €351.86 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入明显的价格战区,而且对新品牌极不友好。 新发布产品里只有8.70%能盈利,91.30%都不赚钱;更关键的是,新品牌本身是100%失败,说明真正的新卖家几乎没有可复制的成功路径。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很直接:这个市场不适合进入,已经接近/进入过度拥挤和价格战状态。 新品牌这边没有形成真正可复制的赚钱样本,最近新入局的 4 个新品牌里 100% 都是亏损,新释放产品整体成功率只有 8.7%,低于 10% 的高风险线。
证据很清楚:近一年新品牌进入并没有带来利润,反而是亏损在扩散。 时间上看,2026 年新释放产品集中爆发:全年可见的新释放样本 23 个,2026 年就占了绝大多数,其中 20 个是非盈利,只有 2 个盈利;按新品牌口径,FUDUOXIAO、ZEXUPORIUM、Qibivfo、VIDSTW 四个新品牌的非盈利新产品占比是 100%,没有任何盈利新品牌样本可供小卖家照抄。利润率也不乐观,新释放产品的利润区间下限到 -1.13%,上限只有 16.52%,说明大多数新品都被成本和竞争压住了。再看新品成功案例,真正能站住的只有老牌 Jiayi 的 B0GHXN1CJD:17.9% 利润率、月销 300、月营收 5139 欧、近 3 个月均销 66 件、前期投入约 2935 欧,但它属于老品牌的强势延伸,不是小品牌可直接复制的入口。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |